Quote:
Originally Posted by urbancore
Texas turning blue has been talked about since as long as I can remember. I never liked the pigeon hole politics puts people into....I've known quite a few Hispanic conservatives who follow their religious views more than anything else.
I've been voting in Austin Texas since the 80's and I've heard this line since then..."just wait, one day Texas will inevitably turn blue". After all these years, I still don't see it. Maybe not ever in my lifetime. Texas is a very complex place.
I have gay friends who own/love guns and voted for Hilary. A CEO of a respectable, very conservative REIT located here, voted for Obama...first time he voted Democrat since LBJ he said.
Most all my colleagues/friends share the same 2 qualities... They are socially liberal, fiscally conservative.
What i find amusing is "progressives" who act like conservatives, never realizing the irony. Talking bout you....nimbys.
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I wasn't here in the 80s, but things are a bit different now. The urban metros of the country are becoming way more "blue" now than they were in the 80s. Also, the urbanization of Texas is happening at an ever faster rate. It is urbanizing faster than any other state. The rural, mostly red areas have unchanging demographics with stagnant or declining population. The urban, mostly blue areas have changing demographics with growth charts that have become more hockey stick like than ever before. The amount of time before the urban vote simply overwhelms the rural is shortening...quickly.
Also, whether or not Texas "turns blue" depends on one's definition. Blue as in all of the state wide races going to Democrats? That won't happen anytime soon. Will the governorship go Democratic anytime soon? It doesn't look like it. Will the state's electoral votes go blue? It looks like there's a fair chance in 2020. The 2020 senate election? I'm guessing not, but it's plausible. Will the congressional reps or the state house reps be at least half Democratic? Plausible. Etc....