Quote:
Originally Posted by left of center
Murders typically pick up in the summer months, when its warmer and potential rivals are more likely to be outdoors and spot each other. Using the existing rate, which includes winter months as well as a colder than normal spring, would extrapolate to a lower than anticipated amount.
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That's the theory, but 2016 and 2017 especially proved otherwise with high numbers of homicides through the winter anyway. Those two years didn't follow the previous patterns. Funny thing is that March 2018 ended up with 2 fewer homicides than March 2015. The next 3 months will tell us what we need to know - you aren't incorrect in that the numbers increase for summer, but at the same time so far this year the decrease month by month leads me to believe that so far, the year may end more normally than abnormally.
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