Quote:
Originally Posted by JManc
In ten years, they will just be rolling out the technology. Consider the amount of processing power it will require to anticipate every imagine imaginable condition. As well as the costs.
And this stuff is all still fairly new. My 2016 Acura is a "Level 1" and some of the more expensive/ premium cars are Level 2's with some Level 3 features; Tesla's Autopilot for example that steers people into lakes.
https://www.designnews.com/electronics-test/autonomous-cars-will-move-level-4-2018/175488520357946 |
Well, two things to consider:
1) We don't need Level 5 for self driving cars to be common. Level 4 has everything necessary for operation in most urban areas and already exists in reality.
2) The largest manufacturers pursuing Level 5 are saying 2025 at the latest from everything I've read, with several saying they'll have them done much sooner.
Regardless, sensor cost is a bigger deal that computer power at this point. Once breakthroughs are made to reduce the cost of LiDAR systems, such as making them solid state, the prices on those sensors will drop significantly. If they can't bring costs down it will be a bigger barrier to entry than the technology itself.
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