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Originally Posted by Novacek
Ryan Robinson (the demographer) projected ~2025 I believe (back in 2016). https://austintx.swagit.com/play/02232016-2106
Of course, that was before San Jose saw negative growth in the most recent release (but I'm not sure how much I believe that, remember these are estimates with fairly large error bars, and I'm guessing that decline was just noise in those estimates).
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Yea. I'm no demographer. The 2020 census will be telling. I was just eyeing it up based on what I saw here:
https://factfinder.census.gov/faces/tableservices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?src=bkmk
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Probably a _long_ time (if it ever happens) but it would be fun to see us, Dallas, and Fort Worth jump San Diego, and have 5 of the top 10 in Texas. We'd all need to step up our game (especially FW) to make sure we're not caught by Charlotte/Seattle/Denver.
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Well. It looks like Fort Worth is getting ready to jump multiple cities like Austin just did. It may not be long before they settle in right behind us on this list. Five of the top 11 or 12 would still be impressive.
It will be a couple decades before we pass another city (after passing San Jose), but I'm not so sure it will be San Diego. They still have growth spurts from time to time. Philadelphia (city), however, has become stagnant population wise. They could be more likely to drop a couple notches than San Diego.