Quote:
Originally Posted by Tosin007
But Toronto's Population is much closer to 2.9 Million by now, so its Rates @ 52 Homicides YTD is much closer to 1.8 Per 100,000. Why?
Population Growth! Ontario is near 14 Million in Population already by now.
(The Latest from Statistics Canada).
http://www5.statcan.gc.ca/cansim/a26?lang=eng&id=510005
Ontario: 13,982,984 (July 1st, 2016).
Doing the Math/ Factoring in Population Growth the GTA is Roughly around 48-49% of the Population of the whole Province of Ontario, & Roughly 42% of the Metro Residents general reside within the City Limits as opposed to Toronto Suburbs. (@ least its been that way since the 2011 Census). So if that remains the same then the Inner City is much closer to 2.9 Million than it is now to 2.8 Million, (Likely 2.87 or 2.88) So when rounding the Murder Stats are probably about 1.8 Per 100,000.
|
That's not an accurate way to measure murder rates as it's an annual metric and there are still three months left in the year. Unless of course there aren't any more and it stays at 52. Actually, I think Toronto is already at 53 or more.
So unless things slow down considerably, Toronto will likely end up with murder rate just under or just over 3 per 100k.