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View Poll Results: How Will You Vote On Election Day?
Conservative 50 21.65%
Liberal 117 50.65%
NDP 46 19.91%
Green 9 3.90%
BQ 6 2.60%
Other 3 1.30%
Voters: 231. You may not vote on this poll

 

 
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  #10  
Old Posted Oct 6, 2015, 9:47 PM
ainvan ainvan is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Toronto/Vancouver
Posts: 965
Vote Splitting: How Mulcair And Trudeau May Be Handing Victory To Harper

Here is the list of the 28 ridings affected. There are technically 72 ridings where CPC is leading but NDP+LPC would be greater, but in most of them, the lead of the Conservative candidate would not be overcome by having a unique candidate (or coalition) between the other two (namely because not all NDP voters for instance would vote Liberals).

In these ridings, if the NDP and Liberals were to run a single candidate, they would likely win. 28 out of 338 isn't that much, but it does currently make the difference between Harper finishing first and third.



Too Close to Call
     
     
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