Quote:
Originally Posted by Bassic Lab
Well, if ridership growth on the other lines corresponds with the opening of the WLRT, then it would be safe to attribute that growth to the network effect. Of course if capacity constraints limit growth until four car trains exist, then we'll have no way of knowing if that growth can be attributed to the network effect of opening the WLRT or if it is simply latent demand that existed prior to the WLRT.
Personally, I'd expect to see a more obvious change in reverse flow and off peak numbers on the other lines since they would not be constrained at all. That might only really apply to the NW line though as the closure of Chinook will presumably screw with 2013 Q1 numbers.
I'm just hoping that the WLRT will push us over the 300 000 weekday riders mark on a monthly basis. It seems pretty safe to say that it will push us over it during the seasonal peak. Given what we've heard so far.
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Also hard to tell this even without capacity constraints. Was it the West LRT enticing new riders, or gas prices, or new offices downtown, or traffic, or lifecycle effects of the transit riders. Without knowing where the people are going, it is hard to tell why they using transit. And we also don't know how many would have used the 301 previously.
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