Quote:
Originally Posted by New Brisavoine
Cuba and Jamaica were stable, and they too had a White minority ruling over a large Black slave population.
The causes for the Haitian Revolution are not demographic, but are due to the French Revolution itself, which disorganized White rule over the colony.
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Cuba and Jamaica were definitely not stable. All forms of forced labor were ended in Jamaica in the 1830s due to violent uprisings. This was 30 years before forced labor was extinguished in the United States.
Even though Cuba was the last of these three countries/territories to abolish slavery, Cuba also had a long history of violence between enslaved and overseers. This pattern carried all the way through to the Cuban War of Independence from Spain (aka the Spanish-American War). It's most likely that if the Confederacy had prevailed it would have collapsed in similar form to how colonial rule ended in Cuba, with violent uprisings of slaves against the elites. Cuba may have also joined the Confederacy if it had survived the Civil War, which would have compounded the problem of the eventual collapse of the slave industry on the Confederacy.