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Old Posted Jun 17, 2026, 5:47 PM
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Steely Dan Steely Dan is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jmecklenborg View Post
However, the percentage of the U.S. that is black keeps ticking downward because there has been so much immigration from Mexico and elsewhere. Mexicans/Latinos now outnumber black Americans 2X nationally.
Latinos have handily overtaken Blacks nationally, but it's not 2X yet.

US macro-demos Census 2020:

white: 57.8%
latino: 18.7%
black: 12.1%
asian: 5.9%
other: 5.5%



But the trend lines are clear. Chicago is one of the best examples of this black to latino minority inversion. Chicago was one of the biggest recipients of southern blacks during the 20th century's great migrations, probably 2nd only to NYC in terms of #s, reaching a peak of about 40% of the city's population by 1980, while latinos accounted for only around 14% at the time.

And then the mexicans REALLY started coming to Chicago. And boy did they ever.

Here are the macro-demos for Chicago as of ACS 2024:

white: 32.1%
latino: 29.7%
black: 27.4%
asian: 7.2%
other: 3.5%


And while one might be tempted to argue that's only because of black flight out of the city to the burbs, regionally the gap is even bigger, with latinos outnumbering blacks by 9 full points and trending to go up 2X sometime later this century.


Here are the macro-demos for the 7 county CMAP Region* as of ACS 2024:

white: 47.9%
latino: 24.8%
black: 15.8%
asian: 7.9%
other: 3.6%


(*) the 7 county CMAP Region cloesly approximates the Chicago MSA, minus NWI and two outlying rural IL counties hardly anyone lives in anyway.
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Last edited by Steely Dan; Jun 18, 2026 at 11:52 AM.
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