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Old Posted Sep 12, 2025, 3:27 AM
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logan5 logan5 is offline
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Location: Mt.Pleasant - The New Downtown South
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First to 1 Million - Vancouver or Surrey

Quote:
For nearly three decades, various projections have pegged Surrey to become British Columbia’s most populous city, surpassing the Metro Vancouver region’s namesake city of Vancouver.

Some previous forecasts put this date sometime in the 2010s or late in the 2020s.

Now, Metro Vancouver Regional District’s newly updated population growth forecast predicts Surrey will reach the milestone of surpassing Vancouver’s population in 2038.

As well, Surrey will also reach the milestone of growing to one million people in 2051 — the first municipality in British Columbia to hit seven digits in its population.

https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/surr...t-bc-city-2038
With so many development opportunities in Vancouver - TOD Skytrain policy, Broadway Corridor policy, Renfrew/Rupert, Cambie Corridor, Villages, and a few more things, it's hard to see Surrey overtaking Vancouver in the next 25 years.

On top of that, there are generous land use policies in other cities like Burnaby, and other more desirable areas that will divert a lot of development activity away from Surrey.

Surrey may have to wait another 50 years before it passes Vancouver.
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