Quote:
Originally Posted by Steely Dan
the pandemic has absolutely caused a great many people to re-evaluate their home living space needs/desires, but there are A LOT more choices than either a small one bedroom highrise condo downtown or a 3,500 SF mcmansion on the cul-de-sac out in exurbia.
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Exactly. Even here in NYC, my building and other buildings on my street owned by the same landlord have larger 1 bedrooms than what you'll get in Manhattan. The demand never stopped and rent barely even dropped here during the pandemic as a result. The only ones for my landlord that dropped I saw, noticeably, were studio apartments.
It's important to look at data like that from NEMA in Chicago who said they had an almost 40% uptick in current tenants looking to up the amount of space they currently have. They weren't running for the suburbs - they were just saying hey maybe my studio can become a 1 bedroom instead.
In regards to the data I have been collecting on sale price >= list price, data up until Monday night that I have..
Condos/Townhomes
2 bedroom: 551
3 bedroom: 313
1 bedroom: 175
4 bedroom: 42
Studio: 5
5 bedroom: 3
SFH
4 bedroom: 298
3 bedroom: 295
5 bedroom: 121
2 bedroom: 78
6 bedroom: 23
7 bedroom: 8
There's now a few hundred more of this category for condos than SFH now. This wasn't the case back in the fall/first few months of the year. Since April 1st, there's been 456 SFH sales of this type versus 752 condos/townhomes. Still a number of SFH selling though of course, which makes sense. Overall sale numbers of course is some other story, which I don't have 100% of the data on right now. The uptick for the amount of condos in dense areas though getting sold for at or above their list price is very noticeable though. Lake View for example in January and February only had 9 of them (condos). On 4/30 alone, there were 10 of them for Lake View. Literally on 1 day there, more sold for at or above their list price than the entire first 2 months of the year combined.
January-March for Condos (90 days)
West Town: 45
Near West Side: 41
Lake View: 37
Lincoln Park: 23
Near North Side: 23
Near South Side: 21
Uptown: 18
Edgewater: 14
Rogers Park: 11
The Loop: 8
Lincoln Square: 7
North Center: 7
Albany Park: 3
April - May 17th for Condos (47 days)
West Town: 104 (+131%)
Lake View: 89 (+140.5%)
Uptown: 56 (+211%)
Lincoln Park: 50 (+117.4%)
Near North Side: 48 (+108.7%)
Near West Side: 42 (+2.4%)
Rogers Park: 36 (+227.3%)
North Center: 35 (+400%)
Near South Side: 31 (+47.6%)
Edgewater: 23 (+64.3%)
The Loop: 19 (+137.5%)
Lincoln Square: 17 (+142.9%)
Albany Park: 12 (+300%)
Of the 13 areas here, 10 have seen at least 100% increases in the last 47 days (as of Monday) versus the first 90 days of this year. Something tells me there's something to this, that perhaps people are moving back to the city and upgrading space. Also with that comes the above links talking about how various new luxury apartment buildings have leased up now pretty quickly.