Quote:
Originally Posted by GenWhy?
Metro Vancouver saw an 11% decrease in private auto use from I believe 1996-2016, which was the year Evergreen began operation. So a further decrease in private auto use is foreseeable in the next census. 3 new B-Line routes will be in operation in early 2020.
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Not Metro Van. Vancouver. IE. City of Vancouver.
There is reason to believe the trend may reverse. Rideshare is known to generally cause congestion, and while automated vehicles may reduce congestion with better transit capacity, there's also the good likelihood that it'll make transit less attractive and that there will be people-less cars zooming around cities as carshare programs and driving in general becomes more attractive.
Parking may no longer be a limit or deterrent to how many cars can fill up the Downtown core when your car drops you off.
Also, much of the decrease is because Vancouver's population is older and younger (Elderly and College students) and tends to drive less as a result.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Migrant_Coconut
Said model doesn't appear to show anywhere near "Canucks night" maximum saturation.
Granted, the downward MV traffic trend may not stick, but in that case - or a case where 2049 arrives and there's still no Hastings Line - the viaducts will be clogged too. We're seeing mild backups right now even in the slow hours... and we've discussed the difficulties of setting up a proper bus/train grid with the 'ducts in the way. I'm usually all for grade-separation, but in this one case, it does more harm than good.
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Maybe it's because I'm from Langley. :/
Expo/Pacific is where most of the excess capacity is, and also where any new surface-level transit would be built, as indicated by AroundtheWorld's study.
https://fraseropolis.files.wordpress.com/2017/04/2011-viaducts-study-summary.pdf
And yes, we did discuss that. The difficult section was connecting to any Prior St. transit.
Removing the viaducts would force any transit to run without dedicated lanes at a chokepoint, pretty much making the Vancouver Streetcar idea pretty pointless. You may as well ignore the NEFC area entirely.
Quote:
Originally Posted by trofirhen
Would a short tunnel under Prior, to the hospital, reserved exclusively for hospital vehicles coming in from east or west, be worthwhile considering as an investment?
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No. The viaducts are perfectly functional and in good shape.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aroundtheworld
For all of those concerned about future increases in traffic, here is a study of where traffic comes from right now for the viaducts.
If you go to page i, you will see a lot of it comes from East Vancouver, Southeast Vancouver, North Burnaby and the Tricities.
There are several transit improvements that have been built that will reduce vehicular traffic and several more that could easily be implemented:
Recent improvements: - Evergreen Extension
- Hastings B-Line
Future Improvements - Hastings Rapidbus Efficiency Improvements
- Maple Ridge Rapidbus
- Millennium Line extension to Port Coquitlam
- Commercial/Victoria Rapidbus
This is before any Hastings Skytrain is even considered. I don't think we need to worry about carmaggedon along this corridor.
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Your own study points out that removing the viaducts "Requires significant diversion of existing trips to transit" and that the traffic removed from the Viaducts fills up Expo/Pacific nearly entirely. Note the new road only improves capacity on Expo/Pacific by 1 lane.
I have no idea how anyone is expected to use Keefer or Alexander to get into Downtown, so that leaves Hastings, Pender, and Powell for excess capacity. A decent chunk for traffic surges, but you leave no space for potential demand growth due to planned redevelopments in East Van (where most of these people are coming from.)
The planned transit improvements may help, though; as I pointed out, you need some level of excess capacity or space for adding on-grade transit in the first place. Buses don't work well in gridlock.