Quote:
Originally Posted by AdrianXSands
you know... i keep hearing about how chicago's market is in a 'major slump' and this and that on the news and else where. yet, construction continues on and on... are we really building too much? because, the way i see it, if you they'll come, right?
|
I am as big of a fan of Chicago's high-rise boom as anyone else, but I do think we are slowing down a bit. There is still demand for more hotels, rental towers, and office buildings out there, so we are still going to be seeing lots of buildings go up....but the condo market is definitely not as strong as it was a couple years ago. Walton on the Park is about to begin construction, and buildings such as Mandarin Oriental, X/O, 1349 South Wabash, and 565 Quincy could all possibly begin construction in the next few months or so, but that is because they were able to sell a large number of units before the subprime crisis erupted and real estate market started to decline.
I think that there will still be some condo highrises beginning construction in the next few years, but just not nearly as many as what we've seen in the last couple years. Towers in great locations, like Lakeshore East (Arquitectonica), Central Station (Grant Park Tower 3), or next to Lake Shore Drive (Peshtigo) will still be successful. High quality buildings such as Walsdorf-Astoria also should have a fairly good chance at success. Developers such as CMK who offer condos at extremely competitive prices should also still be successful in building new high rise towers. But projects not offering a great location, building, or price, will have a tough time getting built as the market isn't as strong as it was a couple years ago.
Not saying the boom we've experience over the past few years or so is dying....but it should definitely slow down somewhat during the next couple of years or so. One thing to keep in mind, is that Chicago getting the 2016 Olympics would probably give this boom a second wind, to say the least.
I think we had a record number of construction starts in 2007? (does anyone know the exact number?) While I would imagine that there will still be a solid number of construction starts in 2008, it won't be anywhere close to what it was in 2007.