There hasnt been the forum poll yet but knowing what I know now, I project this
NDP will win around 52 seats, Cons will win 39, Greens will win 2.
Popular Vote
44% NDP
43% Con
10% Green
3% Other
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River District Big Government progressive
~ Just Watch me
- Pierre Elliot Trudeau
My prediction is NDP 48, Conservatives 42, Green 3.
I would have liked to see the Conservatives self-destruct, before the election, however now it will happen after the elections. The can't hide the problem candidates they have from the press and public for ever.
Decided voters aged 55 and over favour the BC NDP (51% to 37%), while their counterparts aged 18-to-34 give the BC Conservatives the edge (46% to 35%). The two parties are tied with 42% among decided voters aged 35-to-54.
The trend of old people supporting the NDP has been reflected in multiple polls.
If you adjust by voter turnout by age, it's 45.5 NDP and 40 BCC.
I’ll bet this weather deters a lot of people from voting. The NDP probably has the stronger get out and vote machine, after all they’ve been around for decades. I don’t think it’ll be as close as polls indicate.
A Forum Research IVR poll puts the NDP and Conservatives at a tie. They were pretty on the money in Alberta and Manitoba in 2023.
Quote:
We project 46 seats for the Conservatives, 45 seats for the NDP, and 2 seats for the Greens. Either party must win at least 47 seats to form a majority government.
However they show the NDP winning 10 point leads with people making $100k-$250k, and Conservatives a few points ahead of the NDP on the Island, so I'm a bit doubtful of that but we will find out in a few hours.
Location: East Vancouver (No longer across the ocean!)
Posts: 3,677
Just got back from voting; There were 6 election workers, and I think two other person voting when I got there. Walked in and out.
Not trying to pass this off as data, but I remember having to wait in line in the past. However, they no longer do voter lookup in physical record books anymore and it's all on laptops so maybe that's the big difference.
My experience in advance voting was in and out too, but I imagine that's just because there are so many polling locations and advance voting spread it out. A community centre I was at today had a polling station and it looked fairly busy but no lines.
I took advantage when it stopped raining for a bit and went then - as did a number of other people so there was a short line. Still overall it was pretty easy, and yeah I'm sure using laptops instead of paper prob saved some time.
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