The piece in The Province that the Mayor responded to is an op-ed by Jason Bateman of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation (excerpt below). That by-line should give one significant pause when it comes to considering the accuracy of the piece and the validity of the negative economic impact numbers he quotes. Indeed, The Province has already issued a correction saying "A previous version of this op-ed incorrectly implied that existing buildings would require retrofitting within the next 10 years. The city’s targets are for all new buildings to have zero emissions as of 2030, and all buildings — including existing ones — by 2050."
After Bateman's central role in the Transit Plebiscite fiasco, particularly his widely reported and repeatedly discredited methodology for calculating the cost per household of the proposed 0.5% PST tax increase (he incorrectly assumed that businesses and tourists would be exempt and only Metro Vancouver residential households would pay), I don't know how he has the credibility to garner the attention he does. Clearly, his opinions, and that of the CTF, align with editorial leadership at The Province. However, I also don't put it past the Province's editorial board that they just keep publishing him to get people's ire up and sell papers and generate page views in the process.
Quote:
Jordan Bateman: Vision Vancouver’s natural-gas ban will cost residents thousands of dollars
Gregor Robertson’s green obsession should be a grave concern for Vancouver taxpayers trying to make ends meet.
Lost in the hubbub over housing prices in the Lower Mainland this summer was the Vision-dominated city council rubber stamping its Renewable City Strategy, committing Vancouver to eliminating natural gas within city limits by 2050. Robertson wants a 70-per-cent cut in natural gas use by 2020, and 90 per cent gone within 10 years on new construction or renovations requiring a building permit.
This will cost individual residents thousands of dollars — and was approved by Robertson and his council without any thought to the affordability crisis in Vancouver. This plan will make it more expensive for people to heat their homes and to buy things from businesses in Vancouver, and it means higher taxes to cover rising costs for hospitals, schools and buses.
Today, 56 per cent of all energy used by homes in Vancouver comes from natural gas, mainly to heat rooms and water. FortisBC has more than 108,000 customers in Vancouver – including homes, condo buildings, medical centres, restaurants and schools.
There are only two energy alternatives that could realistically replace natural gas — a district energy system run by the city, or electricity. Both are roughly the same price. Even with the news that FortisBC is hiking its natural gas price by $82 per year for the average residential customer, natural gas is still far cheaper than these alternatives.
Based on BC Hydro and FortisBC rates and average energy usage, a single-family home could see a $1,400 per year rise in energy bills if it moved from natural gas to electricity — and that’s on top of the up-front cost (likely thousands of dollars more) to convert or replace water heaters and furnaces.
It gets worse. In commercial, institutional and industrial buildings, 37 per cent of energy comes from natural gas. That means higher prices for customers, who will have to pay more to help business and restaurant owners foot the bill for the conversion and higher ongoing energy costs.
Hospitals are huge users of natural gas, not just to heat their buildings, but to sterilize equipment. A mid-sized hospital saves as much as $600,000 per year by using natural gas. Force them to use electricity, and more tax dollars will be needed to fund them.
More than a hundred schools use natural gas in Vancouver. The Vancouver School Board could need another $3.6 million per year for higher electricity costs.
Vision Vancouver is coming after vehicles, too. TransLink has been buying natural gas-powered buses for a few years, but Robertson’s plan may soon force them to buy fuel-cell buses — at more than twice the price. You can bet TransLink will be asking taxpayers for more money to cover it.
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CORRECTION: A previous version of this op-ed incorrectly implied that existing buildings would require retrofitting within the next 10 years. The city’s targets are for all new buildings to have zero emissions as of 2030, and all buildings — including existing ones — by 2050.
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http://theprovince.com/opinion/jorda...nds-of-dollars