Calgary Civic Census 2012

Wooster · #1 Posted **Jun 27, 2012, 8:42 PM**

Coming out very soon. Any guesses in growth this year??

Historical trend:

Year Population Difference %Change

2002 904,987 28,468 3.25
2003 922,315 17,328 1.91
2004 933,495 11,180 1.21
2005 956,078 22,583 2.42
2006 991,759 35,681 3.73
2007 1,019,942 28,183 2.84
2008 1,042,892 22,950 2.25
2009 1,065,455 22,563 2.16
2010 1,071,515 6,060 0.57
2011 1,090,936 19,421 1.81

kw5150 · #2 Posted **Jun 27, 2012, 9:17 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by wooster

coming out very soon. Any guesses in growth this year??

Historical trend:

Year population difference %change

2002 904,987 28,468 3.25
2003 922,315 17,328 1.91
2004 933,495 11,180 1.21
2005 956,078 22,583 2.42
2006 991,759 35,681 3.73
2007 1,019,942 28,183 2.84
2008 1,042,892 22,950 2.25
2009 1,065,455 22,563 2.16
2010 1,071,515 6,060 0.57
2011 1,090,936 19,421 1.81

2012 ........32,975

fusili · #3 Posted **Jun 27, 2012, 9:35 PM**

I predict Beltline is going to break 20K.

DizzyEdge · #4 Posted **Jun 27, 2012, 10:40 PM**

will there also be a CMA population announced? would be nice to see if we beat Ottawa

Calalb · #5 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 7:02 AM**

What happened in 2010! 2012....1,119,639.

kw5150 · #6 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 4:12 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calalb

What happened in 2010! 2012....1,119,639.

We had a couple bad summers and everyone moved back to Winnipeg, Quebec and Ontario.

Rusty van Reddick · #7 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 5:23 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by DizzyEdge

will there also be a CMA population announced? would be nice to see if we beat Ottawa

No. It's a civic census.

You can see results for other civic censes (not every municipality in the province, never mind the CMA, does them annually or at all so prepare to be disappointed) at www.altapop.ca

Spring2008 · #8 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 5:23 PM**

2012: 27,516. Though I'd like to see the city proper break 30k again.

CMA approaching 40k growth to reach 1,310,000 total population. Now if only they'd finally add all of those cities/towns directly south of the city, the CMA would hit 1.5 million in a few years.

fusili · #9 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 5:32 PM**

Should be out any minute now (website says 11:00am on June 28)

Spring2008 · #10 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 5:36 PM**

Wow just realized the census results are supposed to be released today. Usually they wait until the end of July. Link below, though nothing is out yet...

http://www.calgary.ca/CA/city-clerks...usResults.aspx

Spring2008 · #11 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 6:03 PM**

And here's your results: 2.86% growth in one year. Pretty damn impressive considering most of Canada is sitting at around a 1% population increase/year.

Quote:

Calgary’s population is booming again, rising to 1,120,225.
And here's your results:

Results of the city’s 2012 civic census released today shows significant growth of 29,289 new residents, or a 2.86 per cent increase from April 2011.

Read more: http://www.calgaryherald.com/Calgary...#ixzz1z71f8t3L

fusili · #12 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 6:12 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spring2008

And here's your results: 2.86% growth in one year. Pretty damn impressive considering most of Canada is sitting at around a 1% population increase/year.

Read more: http://www.calgaryherald.com/Calgary...#ixzz1z71f8t3L

I am always interested to see if the Beltline outpaces growth for the rest of the city. It has been doing so for the last 5 years or so. The last three years it grew by 2.9%, 3.1% and 3.5%. But, there haven't been as many condos starting occupancy in the last year, so it may be lower. I can't think of any.

kw5150 · #13 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 6:35 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by kw5150

2012 ........32,975

I have a friend looking for a place to rent and it is a freakin rat race trying to find something. Almost no one returns calls at all or phones back and says the place is taken..... Reminds me of 2006 so that is what I based my guess on.

kw5150 · #14 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 6:37 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calalb

What happened in 2010! 2012....1,119,639.

Nice guess buddy!

Wooster · #15 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 7:05 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by fusili

I am always interested to see if the Beltline outpaces growth for the rest of the city. It has been doing so for the last 5 years or so. The last three years it grew by 2.9%, 3.1% and 3.5%. But, there haven't been as many condos starting occupancy in the last year, so it may be lower. I can't think of any.

Yeah, Beltline only grew by about 180 or so this year I believe or about 1% No significant condo completions this past year. I expect the next couple censuses return to that 500-800 people per year pace.

A couple of interesting things in this census. The housing start split was about 57% single family 43% multifamily. So quite balanced.

Also the inner ring of primarily R2 communities (like South Calgary, Killarney, Mount Pleasant) all had fairly strong growth rates. The number of shrinking communities is dropping.

Calgarian · #16 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 8:58 PM**

Yeah the only new building in the last couple years is Luna, and no one has moved in yet.

Surrealplaces · #17 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 9:32 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spring2008

And here's your results: 2.86% growth in one year. Pretty damn impressive considering most of Canada is sitting at around a 1% population increase/year.

Read more: http://www.calgaryherald.com/Calgary...#ixzz1z71f8t3L

Nice! 29,289 new residents, or a 2.86 per cent. That's some good solid growth. I was going to guess 24k which I would have expected to be very good, but 29k...awesome.

Surrealplaces · #18 Posted **Jun 28, 2012, 10:18 PM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calgarian

Yeah the only new building in the last couple years is Luna, and no one has moved in yet.

The year after next (2014) should be very solid for the Beltline. Drake, Calla, Luna, and Keynote will all be done and have had move-ins by then. Alura and Aura not too far behind.

srperrycgy · #19 Posted **Jun 29, 2012, 12:55 AM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wooster

Also the inner ring of primarily R2 communities (like South Calgary, Killarney, Mount Pleasant) all had fairly strong growth rates. The number of shrinking communities is dropping.

I'm surprised at my 'hoods increase (+273). Given the accelerated infill development this year, the increases will continue here.

fusili · #20 Posted **Jun 29, 2012, 1:38 AM**

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wooster

Yeah, Beltline only grew by about 180 or so this year I believe or about 1% No significant condo completions this past year. I expect the next couple censuses return to that 500-800 people per year pace.

A couple of interesting things in this census. The housing start split was about 57% single family 43% multifamily. So quite balanced.

Also the inner ring of primarily R2 communities (like South Calgary, Killarney, Mount Pleasant) all had fairly strong growth rates. The number of shrinking communities is dropping.

Noticed that too. I think much of this may be because of contextual semis that are really filling in places like Killarney, etc. Not a lot of multi-family above 4 units in these areas, but it still creates considerable growth.

If Calgary wants to promote pretty substantial inner city growth, but that isn't large scale, we would just upzone all those R-C2 communities to M-CG (townhouse). But based on how difficult even contextual semis are to get approved now (and not appealed), I am skeptical this would happen.