City Murder Rates

[Yuri]

In the past six months, there's this massive wave of cell phones stealing in São Paulo (and I guess in other major cities).

It's very unsettling, as criminals are more and more bold, laws are lax and police cannot be everywhere all the time. And I'm afraid pedestrian life overnight will decrease a lot, everybody taking Uber and leaving streets even emptier, and arguably, more unsafe.

[ChiSoxRox]

Baltimore is at 114, about to pass 20 per 100k.

Baltimore Sun

[muertecaza]

Phoenix has 67 total homicides through the first 1/3 of the year. Of these, 58 could be unambiguously classed as "murders," and 9 are a combination of justified homicides, manslaughter, and yet-to-be-categorized.

Using 58 as the number, that would put us on pace for 174 for the year. That would be thankfully a downward trend from 200 in 2020 and 198 in 2021, but still much higher than 139 in 2019. Using 2020 Census population numbers, that would put us at 11.07 per 100,000 annualized.

[Skoobeatz]

Youngstown Ohio (7) as of 05-03-22

Population: 60,000

Last year total: (31)

[montréaliste]

Originally Posted by muertecaza

Phoenix has 67 total homicides through the first 1/3 of the year. Of these, 58 could be unambiguously classed as "murders," and 9 are a combination of justified homicides, manslaughter, and yet-to-be-categorized.

Using 58 as the number, that would put us on pace for 174 for the year. That would be thankfully a downward trend from 200 in 2020 and 198 in 2021, but still much higher than 139 in 2019. Using 2020 Census population numbers, that would put us at 11.07 per 100,000 annualized.

How can you infer the total year’s tally from 58 murders up to may First?
We can wish it to happen that way, though.

[BG918]

Denver just hit 37 homicides, up from 31 this time last year.

[ChiSoxRox]

Chicago - 193

Sun-Times

At a pace for 550 on the year, a rate of 20.03 per 100k

[jmecklenborg]

Originally Posted by BG918

Denver just hit 37 homicides, up from 31 this time last year.

Possibly 38:
https://www.thedenverchannel.com/new...way-3rd-avenue

It is reported that the wife, who was also shot in the completely random incident, is in critical condition at a Denver-area hospital. This family was well-known in Cincinnati and it's big news here.

[BG918]

Originally Posted by jmecklenborg

Possibly 38:
https://www.thedenverchannel.com/new...way-3rd-avenue

It is reported that the wife, who was also shot in the completely random incident, is in critical condition at a Denver-area hospital. This family was well-known in Cincinnati and it's big news here.

Horrible, sounds like a case of wrong place at the wrong time. Unfortunately crime of all types has escalated to alarming levels in Denver, which used to be a pretty safe city for its size.

[The North One]

As big cities struggle to control crime, Detroit quietly reports sizable drops

DPD officials optimistic, but know summer months will tell the story

DETROIT (WXYZ) — While major cities like New York City and Chicago continue to report surging crime, Detroit is telling a different story.

Quietly, the city has reported double-digit decreases in violent crime through the first four months of the year, with big drops in homicides, sex assaults, aggravated assaults and robberies...


So far in 2022, the number of homicides has fallen from 102 last year to 82 this year, a reduction of 20%.

Sex assaults have decreased from 256 at this point in 2021 to 209 today, while aggravated assaults have fallen from 3,598 to 2,942.

Non-fatal shootings, a subcategory of aggravated assaults, have fallen by 26%. The city also reported 33 fewer robberies than at this point in 2021.

https://www.wxyz.com/news/as-big-cit...-sizable-drops

[Smuttynose1]

Props to the cities that make this basic information easy to access and understand; so many do not. Below are the YTD number of murders between this year and last. Can anybody find a pattern? I cannot. We are all over the place.

Atlanta
2021: 37
2022: 53
Up 59%

Boston
2021: 14
2022: 9
Down 36%

Chicago
2021: 207
2022: 194
Down 6%

Dallas
2021: 84
2022: 96
Up 14%

Hartford, Conn.
Through April
2021: 9
2022: 11
Up: 22%

Kansas City, MO
2021: 52
2022: 51
Down 2%

Little Rock
2021: 21
2022: 31
Up 48%

Los Angeles
2021: 128
2022: 130
Up 2%

Milwaukee
2021: 51
2022: 73
Up 43%

New York City
2021: 160
2022: 138
Down 14%

Philadelphia
2021: 183
2022: 168
Down 8%

Providence, RI
2021: 7
2022: 4
Down 43%

Richmond, VA
2021: 24
2022: 20
Down 17%

Salt Lake City
2021: 4
2022: 3
Down 25%

San Francisco
2021: 13
2022: 15
Up 15%

Seattle
2021: 11
2022: 13
Up 18%

St Louis
Through April
2021: 62
2022: 50
Down 19%

Washington, DC
2021: 65
2022: 65
No Change

Wilmington, DE
2021: 10
2022: 4
Down 60%

[Elkhanan1]

Originally Posted by Northern Light

City of Toronto

YTD as at April 23, 2022:

21 homicides ( vs 23 at this time last year)

City population, 3,000,000

Murder rate per 100,000 = 2.13 (annualized)

YTD: 24 (vs. 23 at this time last year)

+4.3% from 2021

[tablemtn]

The Oregonian newspaper did a profile of all 38 of the city's homicides so far this year:

Who has died in Portland homicides in 2022?

Many of the cases remain unsolved, including two separate mass-shootings.

[BG918]

Birmingham, AL is at 45 homicides, up 12.5% from this time last year.

[ilcapo]

Originally Posted by ilcapo

24/4 2022

Sweden (pop 10.2 mil)
Estimated total: 38 (29 deadly shootings)
- Up from 32 this date 2021

Stockholm Metro (pop 2.4 mil)
Estimated total: 16 (12 deadly shootings)
- Up from 14 2021

Within City limits/Municipality (Pop 960.000)
Estimated total: 6 (4 deadly shootings)
- Up from 4 2021

Gothenburg/Göteborg Municipality (Pop 578 000)
Estimated total: 0
- Down from 3 2021

Malmo/Malmö Municipality (Pop 344 000)
Estimated total: 5 (2 Deadly shootings)
- Up from 1 2021

27/5 2022

Sweden (pop 10.2 mil)
Estimated total: 47 (29 deadly shootings)
- Up from 42 this date 2021

Stockholm Metro (pop 2.4 mil)
Estimated total: 18 (12 deadly shootings)
- Down from 19 this date in 2021

Within City limits/Municipality (Pop 960.000)
Estimated total: 8 (4 deadly shootings)
- Up from 6 this date in 2021

Gothenburg/Göteborg Municipality (Pop 578 000)
Estimated total: 1 (1 deadly shooting)
- Down from 4 this date in 2021

Malmo/Malmö Municipality (Pop 344 000)
Estimated total: 5 (2 Deadly shootings)
- Up from 3 this date in 2021

[JMKeynes]

“[Don’t] meet me in St. Louis, Louis…” or in Chicago, DC, Atlanta, Charlotte, Dallas, Baltimore, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Indy…

[Elkhanan1]

Originally Posted by Elkhanan1

YTD: 24 (vs. 23 at this time last year)

+4.3% from 2021

YTD: 26
(+4% from this time last year)

Including:
20 shootings (+66.7%)
3 stabbings (-57.1%)
3 other (-50%)

Population: 3 million


Source: https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrI...Q1ZCIsImMiOjN9
Source: https://www.citypopulation.de/en/canada/ontario/admin/

[Smuttynose1]

A few stats from larger cities (+400K population) that are easy to find online. Number in parentheses is YTD number for this year.

Murders are up over last year

Los Angeles +1% (139)
Baltimore +3% (125)
Kansas City +5% (65)
Washington DC +7% (81)
Dallas +15% (97)
Seattle +31% (17)
Milwaukee +44% (88)

Murders are down over last year

Boston -47% (10)
Miami-Dade -31% (30)
San Francisco -11% (16)
Chicago -10% (232)
Minneapolis -10% (36)
NYC -9% (171)
Las Vegas -7% (52)
Nashville -4% (48)
Philly -1% (209)

No Change

Denver No Change (34)

[pip]

Look at Boston. Boston is on a roll. It's safe, walkable neighborhoods just about everywhere, beautiful architecture, great economy, and vibrant. I'm struggling to see how Boston at this point is not America's most successful major city.

[Smuttynose1]

Originally Posted by pip

Look at Boston. Boston is on a roll. It's safe, walkable neighborhoods just about everywhere, beautiful architecture, great economy, and vibrant. I'm struggling to see how Boston at this point is not America's most successful major city.

The murders trend is definitely interesting. It was down last year when most cities were grappling with increases and it's off to an impressive start this year. I'm sure there must be some explanation for it and Someone should write a paper/article on it.

Economically, the State has managed to foster an environment that at least doesn't deter investment and certain industries are thriving, which is notable because it's very much a one-party state (Mass. likes to elect GOP governors, but their influence is limited as they're working with a legislature that is 85%+ Democratic).

But there are many things to complain about. Crumbling infrastructure, terrible traffic (which wouldn't really be an issue if the transit system was better functioning, but alas that's for a separate thread), a growing wealth gap, and a housing crisis. There also seems to be some pervasive general PTSD related to the massive cost under-runs, delays, deaths, and just general dumpster fire that the Big Dig project management was such that there's a lack of willingness to think big to creatively tackle big issues. It's amazing to me that we have such great universities and smart people but struggle so much with what seem like small issues.