Quote:
Originally Posted by Orlando
|
I did see that and to clarify it is a guest editorial and not the SL Trib editorial board just in case people wonder. This guy is one of the people who fought the Olympia Hills development and I think his org is kind of taking the fight state wide. My guess they are lobbying the state now. My first reaction was anger, but I think he makes important points that poorly planned density will not accomplish what we want.
As far as the study he quotes from the CATO institute, keep in mind that this is a libertarian think tank that is very anti "smart growth" and anything they deem not free market capitalism as they define it. I am pretty familiar with their past arguments and while they make some good critiques of planning, zoning, etc., they are not intellectually honest about the subsidies and preferential treatment in zoning cars are given. I also think it is funny to use an org that is against zoning as a general rule as a way to argue against a property owners ability to build as she/he sees fit, which is what CATO would advocate.
The study, I think is right, in that the cities that have been building the most density are the same cities that have had the biggest increases in housing prices. This correlation, which he tries to imply proves causation, is way too simplistic to make a determination. In order to prove causation you would need to look at other factors such as population growth, overall land use policy, geographic constraints, regulations that may drive up cost to build, etc.
Bottom line it is too simplistic to just look at one part of the supply side, but ignore the other policies that effect supply and not factor in demand. In all other industries when demand increases faster than supply you get price increases. This happens in industries that can meet demand relatively quickly and that are largely unregulated. So it isn't shocking when it happens in an industry where the process of building is slow and highly regulated. It would not surprise me if demand is the culprit in these cases. My guess is demand from in migration and natural growth drives price increases which then trigger policies to increase density, but that process is slow, laborious and has to navigate the many regs from cities and counties. These cities also tend to be very mature cities with far less "easy" land to develop.
Another issue is the fact that a raw piece of land on the edge of town is very easy to develop and move quickly on. These infill developments are probably by nature way more difficult to pull off and therefore more pricey. This topic is so large that I haven't even discussed the large car and road subsidies that hid the costs of suburban growth and skew these studies.