I'm not sure why people believe house prices will steadily climb -- or even maintain value -- in the midst of a long drawn-out economic recession. Maybe most of the drops will be seen in Toronto condo markets, but who knows?
Baby boomers are beginning to downsize..... Large 3+ bedroom and 2+ bathroom homes up for sale.. someone has to buy them! Younger families don't want to pay huge gas and electricity bills and spend all saturday cutting lawns.
These baby boomers are a huge segment of the population and its a statistical fact that they are reaching the end of their spending cycle. This will compound the negative economic effects we are seeing.. Products will stay on the shelves longer, production across all industries will have to go down -- we haven't even seen this effect in any great way yet.
Hope for the best, but lets be prepared for some rough times ahead.. lower house prices will be a positive thing for young people and young families just starting out. Its not all bad... we definitely can't keep inflating inflating inflating when an ever increasing proportion of our population will be in the retiree category. Invest in companies offering geriatric supplies now!!