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Originally Posted by jbermingham123
Idk about the civil war hypothesis... its not that its not true, but perhaps its more complicated.
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oh, of course the story is far more complicated than merely saying
"it was the civil war". the civil war ("the shit" of the war itself, and the conflict leading up to it, and that lingered after it) did have an effect on scaring some investment dollars away from more southerly locales in the midwest, money that instead got invested in more northerly places like chicago that were seen as more thoroughly and safely "yankee" by the northeast establishment.
but yeah, that is just but one mere piece of the puzzle, nowhere close to the whole story of how chicago captured lightning in a bottle and soared with stratospheric growth in the 2nd half of the 19th century, quickly overtaking, and then overwhelming, all would-be rivals for the crown of the midwest.
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Originally Posted by jbermingham123
-For STL, the 1870 number continues the smooth exponential curve .. it seems unnaffected by events of the 1860's, and doesnt break until the 1880 census. Whatever destabilized STL's growth took effect after 1870 and before 1880.
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that 1870 population figure for st. louis is an interesting one. it sure makes a funny kink in st. louis' otherwise very smooth growth curve in the 19th century.
it has long been speculated by some historians that the 1870 census result for st. louis was intentionally inflated. at the time, st. louis and chicago were engaged in an epic city-rivalry battle to see who would grow to become the capital city of the interior. st. louis had the head start, and therefor an early lead, but like a dark horse making a mad dash down the final stretch, chicago came charging out of nowhere. st. louis certainly noticed the upstart city that was swiftly gaining on it, and (again, as is speculated by some) in a vain attempt to try to stay ahead of its stalking rival that was nipping at its heels, st. louis purposefully waited until chicago released its 1870 census result (298,977), and then released its own embellished result that kept the city ever so slightly in the lead (310,864), however temporary those bragging rights were. by 1880, st. louis could no longer fudge the numbers enough to pretend that it was still ahead of sky-rocketing chicago. the race was clearly over.