I'm nervous that we'll lean into being a car-city even more now. I think thats my main concern coming out of the pandemic. I feel like public transit will take a long time to recover. If lots of those people make the shift to cars, thats a lot of extra cars on the road. That will definitely bleed into the built environment - more front-facing parking lots and wider roads - just overall uglier city building. Whats making me even more concerned is that plenty of Canadian cities are rolling out strategies to move people around but Winnipeg has stayed pretty quiet.
I noticed on Richard Florida's twitter a few days ago that he laid out his predictions for the medium term future of cities.
https://twitter.com/Richard_Florida/...10479337697282
To summarize, overall he predicted that cities - especially great cities will recover. But in the medium term, he predicts that there will be less demand for condos and even less for retail and office space and that overall there will be less demand for urban living from families and the affluent. Furthermore, cities will likely experience disinvestment and economic stress - especially 2nd and 3rd tier cities.
It'll be really interesting to see how Winnipeg weathers this storm. There didn't seem to much demand before the pandemic for urban living amongst Winnipeg's affluent and families. Most of the urban types I see and know are younger people. But I think if we can hang onto those people and try and build space that attracts more families and people with money to spend we'll be okay. However, we were struggling fiscally before the pandemic, so we'll see.
As for office space, I echo what everyone else has been saying. I suspect that before the new year most people will be going into work everyday again. There might be a shift in the tech sector. I think what the pandemic might have taught us is that employers can be more flexible then they previously thought. People can stay home because they're not feeling great and still put in a decent days work. That being said, I won't expect to see any new office construction for a long time - however, I wasn't expecting to anyways before the pandemic.