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Originally Posted by lrt's friend
I am from Ottawa and we are presently going through the very difficult conversion from BRT to LRT. Believe me, this is far from ideal and the conversion costs are enormous.
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Oh yes, I didn't mean to imply that it would be an easy and cheap upgrade. All I'm saying is that upgrading BRT to LRT is a lot simpler than building LRT from scratch. Our city (from what I understand) is making BRT-related road widenings with future LRT in mind, so that if and when it happens, widenings don't have to happen again, and most of the work will be the installation of rail lines. There would definitely be a lot of construction involved either way.
You are right that we would be upgrading to LRT only when the numbers indicate that the density is there to support such an upgrade. We'll see how quickly BRT leads to more density along RT corridors. Yes, London is a smaller city than Ottawa, but during the initial assessment the city concluded that the north-east RT corridor was dense enough for LRT. The downgrade to BRT happened partially because of Western University and partially because a more expensive project was harder to sustain politically speaking.
The issue with Western University is that most people who work here, drive. A lot of students also drive. London is a car oriented city and the University happens to be in a fairly well off part of town. Since a lot of people who work here have decent salaries, most of them prefer to drive.
The culture here is slowly changing, though. The university is putting into action a plan to eliminate all "through campus" car traffic from the campus core. I have no idea how they are going to accomplish this, but that is the plan. The RT initiative goes hand in hand with that, as certain core campus roads are going to be converted to bus-only lanes (with no lanes for regular traffic at all). Like I said I have no idea how that is going to work (there are parking lots and such along this route) but that is the plan.
You are right that the main concern that was voiced was that rail can't be anywhere near sensitive research facilities. Mind you there has been a change since those concerns were voiced - the route that was selected does not run near most of those sensitive research facilities, instead running west-ward to Alumni Hall, and then north via Western road. IMO this was partially done to make it easier to convince the University to allow LRT in the future. It will also IMO be easier to do that once BRT has been up and running for a number of years and the campus community is used to it - and there are less cars on campus, as per university plans. If the city comes to the University in 15 years and says "We are upgrading this route to LRT, we can bypass the university or not, your call" the University would IMO be in a tough situation. A lot of university community groups would be used to RT at that stage, and would not want to lose it.
We'll see what happens though. For now they are still working on the master engineering plan for the BRT routes, and construction on that is not slated to begin until next year, and might not be over until 2024 or 2027 (I've seen both dates thrown around and am not sure why)