Quote:
Originally Posted by c_speed3108
Having grown up in the east end, I would say I doubt it. Perhaps some changes but nothing near a full redevelopment unless something major happened liked loss of anchor tenants they couldn't replace.
Why do I think so.
1) Orleans has never been about upscale stores, so lack them is not the issue. That mall never survived on that. The mall is fairly well rented. There are some free space, but overall is pretty well leased.
2) Although some malls have closed in the US, I think most major ones in Canada are doing at least okay. Canada has a stronger argument for indoor malls than the US due to climate.
3) There has been very little interest in office developments in Orleans. There was one proposed years ago across the highway (near the park and ride) and lets just say we are still waiting. Brigil proposed something closer to trim, and as far as I know there is much in the way of tenant prospects. The federal government has shown no interest in going east of Blair.
4) In terms of densification, areas like Orleans has not shown much interest in things like high rise condos. It's just not why people do to the 'burbs. They go because they want houses (at a semi-reasonable price) or they want new houses. In terms of density the best I have seen sell wall are 4 story walk-up condos by Brigil.
5) The place is also still fairly new and overall in fairly good condition.
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While I think you're basically right on all points here, there's still the fact that Place and large swaths of St.Joseph blvd represent a lot of untapped potential. Basically every mall in the east end is a transit hub but not a single one has anything planned to take advantage of the new LRT.
The city likes to talk about intensifying and transit-oriented development but those policies don't change anything unless those who own that land actually do something with it. As they are, they're just struggling commercial outlets in a sea of parking which takes up most of the 800m intensification radius. It's on them to capitalize.
St.Joseph is a ruin. I'm shocked more businesses aren't failing there. It IS underdeveloped by today's standards and has great potential for mid-rise and mixed-use. Place D'Orleans is also a complete waste of transit-oriented development. It's the largest transit hub in the east end but there's basically no one living within 500m of it. There's a small cluster of midrise to the east of it but centrum plaza is also a commercial deadzone, ripe for redevelopment. Unfortunately those buildings are having their foundations repaired despite having far too many vacancies, so it seems that building isn't going anywhere either.
Blair is redeveloping brand new big stores and strips malls, no added residential in site.
St. Laurent has been struggling to renovate and expand but so far as I know there are no plans to develop any residential there either. Which is incredibly short-sighted, given the intensification pressure that will only worsen in the more vulnerable areas of Overbrook.