Posted Mar 4, 2025, 2:13 PM
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New Yorker for life
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Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Borough of Jersey
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https://commercialobserver.com/2025/03/midtown-class-a-office-post-covid-leasing/
Midtown’s Class A Office Drought Ups the Stakes Even More
The submarket is doing so well that more developers are considering spec projects
BY PATRICK SISSON
MARCH 4, 2025
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Midtown Manhattan’s whiplash-inducing turnaround — from a zombie district during the height of COVID to an in-demand submarket desperate for Class A real estate — has created a squeeze for trophy offices that will shape the market for years to come.
And there’s little relief in sight. Only a handful of new office towers are on the horizon, with much of the space in those already taken.
Year-over-year data suggests, too, that demand for limited amounts of high-end space, like One Vanderbilt or Hudson Yards, has spiked rents, making Midtown Manhattan one of the world’s most valuable office markets.
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That demand, and the dearth of new office space expected to come online over the next few years, means Midtown tenants, and potential tenants, should be thinking years ahead if they want to find a home in this increasingly constrained market, said JLL (JLL) Vice Chairman Daniel Posy.
The only sizable Class A buildings in the pipeline are J.P. Morgan’s new headquarters at 270 Park Avenue, which the bank has dibs on; Extell’s 29-story 570 Fifth Avenue, which recently started construction and is due to include an Ikea store amid its office space; and RXR and TF Cornerstone’s early-stages bid to build a supertall at 175 Park Avenue in anticipation of demand. Taken together, these will not be enough to satiate firms shopping for new space. The pressure to renew, and raise rents, will be strong, with law and finance firms likely looking to pay for long-term leases. Fintech firm iCapital signed a long-term renewal at One Grand Central Plaza last month, while law firm Mayer Brown just inked a renewal at 1221 Avenue of the Americas in February for 331,00 square feet, a big expansion.
“The fact that there’s so little new construction coming, and what is still under construction is already leased, is definitely of concern to the market,” said Alison Baumann, CompStak’s senior director of real estate intelligence.
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