According to the Transportation Safety Board (TSB), wheel-bearings on LRT vehicles (LRVs) should run about 1.2 million kilometres. That, of course, is an average; some will fail before then, and others will last longer. According to inspections done on the Confederation Line LRVs, a small number of wheel-bearings are failing far before that average. In one year, out of over 11,000 tests, there were 68 bad bearings found. The average distance traveled by those failed bearings was just over 140,000 km. Alas, the TSB did not publish the average distance traveled by all wheel-bearings before they fail. It is possible that a small number of wheel-bearings fail early, but the majority could last over a million kilometres. We do not have that information.
What we do know, from the TSB, however, is that even good bearings (i.e., ones that have not been tagged as having failed) show wear that is much accelerated over what would be expected. Thus, it is unlikely that the majority of bearings travel anywhere near a million kilometres. This is the reason that the leading and trailing axles (the first and last axles of each train) are automatically replaced at 175,000 km. That is about 15% of the normal distance that the wheel-bearings should last.
We also don’t know where the longest-surviving of those failed wheel-bearings were mounted. According to the TSB, the longest-lived of the failed bearings ran for more than 233,000 km before being found as bad. (For reference, the failed wheel bearing where the wheel actually broke off, on Aug. 8, 2021, had traveled 197,967 km.) We also know that, of the 68 failed bearings found, only 5 were found on ‘Trailer Bogies’ – those bogies that do not include a motor, only disk brakes on the wheels. That detached wheel had a disk brake, but the opposite end of the axle was connected to a motor. On the ‘Motor Bogies’, each of the two axles has a motor on one end and a disk brake on the other. It might be possible that the motor is trying to turn one end of the axle, while the disk brake is trying to stop the other end. We do not know this, but we do know that 63 of 68 failed bearings were on one side or the other of this type of axle on ‘Motor Bogies’. (57% on motor end; 43% on disk brake end of the axle)
Is it possible that power on one end of the axle and braking on the other can happen at the same time, causing twisting forces that load the bearings to excess? Maybe. But that would not explain the 5 failures that were on un-powered axles. Also, the Ixège bogie, first introduced in Europe in 2009, is used successfully in other LRVs around the world. The Iponam bogie that is used in Ottawa’s Citadis Spirit LRVs is simply the Ixège POur North AMerica, since it was an Ixège that was modified to have stronger motors.
However, that is not the only way that Ottawa’s LRVs differ from, say, their European cousins. In the letter that I referenced earlier, the TSB gave us a table of differences:

[The letter:
https://www.tsb.gc.ca/eng/securite-s...37-01-23.html]
Although the Ixège is said to be “rigid” in the table, it has been referred to as a pivoting bogie since its introduction. Assuming that ‘pivoting’ and ‘articulated’ are synonyms for bogies that can turn, relative to the car body, the table may not be accurate.
Perhaps something that the TSB didn’t mention is also important. That the Ixège bogie in Europe is rated for 80 km/h. Whether the wheel-bearings were improved to handle the increased speed (100 km/h) here, is unknown. What I can say is that our LRVs would very rarely exceed 80 km/h, and the ‘Slow Orders’ should make this a moot point, with regard to the premature wheel-bearing failures.
This leaves the weight as a primary factor. It would affect all of the wheel-bearings, powered or not. But would a 5% (empty) to 14% (max-load) increase in weight make that much difference in wheel-bearing wear? Maybe.
The other noted difference is the suspension. Is it possible that the steel springs set up an oscillation that damages the wheel-bearings (and creates rail corrugation)?
There is a collection of experts working to figure out what the problem might be. It appears to not be an easy problem to solve. Indeed, it might turn out to be a combination of factors. Hopefully, we will get some answers soon.