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  #581  
Old Posted Jan 12, 2022, 4:01 AM
dave8721 dave8721 is offline
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Ken Griffin just dropped $125 million for a Star Island assemblage for his mansion (bought a house and 2 vacant lots next door to expand onto) for a new Miami sale record.
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  #582  
Old Posted Jan 12, 2022, 4:30 AM
twister244 twister244 is offline
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Originally Posted by lio45 View Post
But if you know with absolute certainty that your RE asset(s) is worth more than your RE debt even in the worst case scenario, can't the logical part of your brain take over and allow you to sleep well?

I owe millions of dollars and see no reason whatsoever that fact would keep me up at night. It's not even on the list of my top 100 worries.

Now, if someone owed money to organized criminals AND weren't in a position to pay, sure, that's a very uncomfortable debt, and a dangerous one; that would keep anyone up at night, trying to think about solutions to the problem.

But RE debt? That's like the healthiest sort of debt there is.
Yep.

I was so nervous when I bought my condo in Denver since it was my first purchase. But I walked in the door with instant equity because it was new construction in a booming neighborhood. I had PMI because I put less than 20% down, but I got out of that less than two years into my mortgage my simply refinancing showing I had 20% equity.

Fast forward to now - I still have that condo with an mechanical 20-something engineer paying my rent on time every month with not one complaint while I continue to build equity.

The thought of taking on a second property now of my own in Chicago seems way less stressful. If worse comes to worse, I cash out my condo in Denver, but I see no reason for that happening anytime soon, even if real estate dips in the next year or two.
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  #583  
Old Posted Jan 12, 2022, 2:45 PM
lio45 lio45 is online now
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Originally Posted by twister244 View Post
Yep.

I was so nervous when I bought my condo in Denver since it was my first purchase. But I walked in the door with instant equity because it was new construction in a booming neighborhood. I had PMI because I put less than 20% down, but I got out of that less than two years into my mortgage my simply refinancing showing I had 20% equity.

Fast forward to now - I still have that condo with an mechanical 20-something engineer paying my rent on time every month with not one complaint while I continue to build equity.

The thought of taking on a second property now of my own in Chicago seems way less stressful. If worse comes to worse, I cash out my condo in Denver, but I see no reason for that happening anytime soon, even if real estate dips in the next year or two.
Someone like Crawford wouldn't sleep well in your situation though, because your Denver rent covering your Denver costs is only true under historically low interest rates.

That said, I wouldn't worry at all if I were you, low rates seem here to stay for at least a good while.

In my case, I'm in a safer situation, thanks to most of what I have having been bought a while ago (at much lower prices), so even rents that are really on the low side would still be more than enough to pay principal and interest on what I owe even if annual interest rates were 10%+. So in that case, no reason whatsoever to not sleep well.

Ironically, it was nearly -30C last night and the boiler quit in a 3-story, 23-unit, central (water) heating building, so that did wake me up for a bit. I should be more precise and say it's not the financial side that ever keeps me up at night.
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  #584  
Old Posted Jan 12, 2022, 4:37 PM
jmecklenborg jmecklenborg is offline
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Originally Posted by Crawford View Post

But yeah, when I hear someone with real assets bought a home, and put down almost nothing, and it's not an investment property, it sounds insane. Debt is Guilt.
I put down 20% on both of my houses, the larger being $45,000 on a $225,000 house. By comparison, my brother recently put down $50,000 on a $1.05 million condominium in Los Angeles. If a collapse occurs and he is forced to move, he might be stuck bringing $100-300k to the closing table just to get out.

The high interest rate environment and the widespread, large-scale abandonment and demolition of single-family homes and multifamilies is the reality I and 100+ million other Americans were raised in and around. The younger generations have no acquaintance with this. Similarly, the younger ages don't remember hi-interest bonds or buying stocks for dividends rather than capital gains.

The 2020 crash could have been a great learning lesson for this new generation. Instead, the stock and RE markets were not only bailed out, but most people who were invested came out tens of thousands, if not hundreds of thousands of dollars ahead of where they would have been if Covid had never happened.

Last edited by jmecklenborg; Jan 12, 2022 at 6:15 PM.
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  #585  
Old Posted Jan 12, 2022, 5:44 PM
Investing In Chicago Investing In Chicago is offline
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RE: Paying off a house vs. highly leveraged, it really depends on each persons financial situation and their tolerance to take on debt.

I certainly wouldn't be where I am today with my rental properties had I not had access to financing. Rental properties are easy to evaluate, as its strictly numbers based, with zero emotion. If the numbers work, and assuming I have the cash for down payment, i bought. I really didn't care what I owed on them.

I look at my primary residence slightly different - it doesn't cash flow, and costs me money every month. I want to get that thing paid off ASAP. We just built a house about 2 years ago, and I put down ~40%. I have a 30yr fixed @ 2.99% on a jumbo, which is crazy, and would make complete sense to just ride that bad boy out until I decide to sell. However, at 38 years old, and wanting to exit the grind by early 50's, I want to get all of my debts paid off as quickly as possible. So my focus now is get the primary paid off, then the rentals, then retire.
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  #586  
Old Posted Jan 12, 2022, 6:18 PM
jmecklenborg jmecklenborg is offline
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Originally Posted by Investing In Chicago View Post
I look at my primary residence slightly different - it doesn't cash flow,
A primary residence can cash flow if you rent out the spare bedrooms. Unfortunately, this strategy backfired on me twice since I've had to evict two people, each for completely insane reasons.

Eviction #1: was told not to get a cat. Tenant snuck a cat into the house and kept in her room. I knew it was there because my cat started pooping outside that bedroom door.

Eviction #2: hoarding old treadmills. Tenant could not stop buying old treadmills and taking up huge amounts of space in the house with said treadmills. Only heard the treadmills in action 1-2 times.

Last edited by jmecklenborg; Jan 13, 2022 at 2:16 PM.
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  #587  
Old Posted Jan 12, 2022, 6:58 PM
Investing In Chicago Investing In Chicago is offline
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Originally Posted by jmecklenborg View Post
A primary residence can cash flow if you rent out the spare bedrooms. Unfortunately, this strategy backfired on me twice since I've had to evict two people, each for completely insane reasons.

Eviction #1: was told not to get a cat. Tenant snuck a cat into the house and kept in their room.

Eviction #2: hoarding old treadmills. Tenant could not stop buying old treadmills and taking up huge amounts of space in the house with said treadmills. Only heard the treadmills in action 1-2 times.
i've house hacked when I was younger, but my days of renting out a spare bedroom are behind me.
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  #588  
Old Posted Jan 12, 2022, 8:46 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lio45 View Post
But if you know with absolute certainty that your RE asset(s) is worth more than your RE debt even in the worst case scenario, can't the logical part of your brain take over and allow you to sleep well?

I owe millions of dollars and see no reason whatsoever that fact would keep me up at night. It's not even on the list of my top 100 worries.

Now, if someone owed money to organized criminals AND weren't in a position to pay, sure, that's a very uncomfortable debt, and a dangerous one; that would keep anyone up at night, trying to think about solutions to the problem.

But RE debt? That's like the healthiest sort of debt there is.
That would keep me on edge but yeah, if you're equity is worth more than the debt (or even initial loan), that's not so bad. Not like a car which loses 10% of its value the moment you leave the lot. Even then, an auto loan better than paying cash; you can leverage that money into something with higher returns. ..
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  #589  
Old Posted Jan 13, 2022, 2:26 PM
jmecklenborg jmecklenborg is offline
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Originally Posted by Investing In Chicago View Post
i've house hacked when I was younger, but my days of renting out a spare bedroom are behind me.
I'm not sure when the term "house hack" appeared, but the knowledge that you can lever up using roommates wasn't common knowledge before that term and online stuff like Bigger Pockets appeared, but even with many more people knowing about it today, it still takes a certain sort of personality to tolerate the nonsense that comes with living with a few strangers in a home that you own.

I did buy my first house with every expectation of renting it out. That's one thing I'll never understand - why people don't attempt to keep their previous house as a rental. All of the cross-country moving in pursuit of more income is actually costing them rental income.

One of my friends moved to North Carolina from Pittsburgh and kept his first home near Carnegie-Mellon as a rental. That's a pretty unusual situation.
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  #590  
Old Posted Jan 13, 2022, 9:22 PM
Investing In Chicago Investing In Chicago is offline
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Originally Posted by jmecklenborg View Post
I'm not sure when the term "house hack" appeared, but the knowledge that you can lever up using roommates wasn't common knowledge before that term and online stuff like Bigger Pockets appeared, but even with many more people knowing about it today, it still takes a certain sort of personality to tolerate the nonsense that comes with living with a few strangers in a home that you own.

I did buy my first house with every expectation of renting it out. That's one thing I'll never understand - why people don't attempt to keep their previous house as a rental. All of the cross-country moving in pursuit of more income is actually costing them rental income.

One of my friends moved to North Carolina from Pittsburgh and kept his first home near Carnegie-Mellon as a rental. That's a pretty unusual situation.
Yeah, I knew of the house hack method in College - where I bought a rental property and made money every month with my living situation by renting out the other rooms, but Brandon Turner at Bigger Pockets was the first I heard to use the term "house hack"....I'm now 38 with a Wife, and 2 little kids and dog, no way a stranger is living in our house with us.
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  #591  
Old Posted Jan 14, 2022, 12:52 AM
twister244 twister244 is offline
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Even though I don't live in Denver anymore, I do pay attention to the real estate there with my rental. I saw this article that just came out with home prices now at $700k there on average:

https://www.westword.com/news/denver...pdate-13197594

This is absolutely insane..... I wonder how this can sustain itself. I know Denver is nice with the mountains, but they still have winters.... and fires.....
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  #592  
Old Posted Jan 14, 2022, 1:22 AM
Crawford Crawford is online now
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A Central Park South apartment that sold for $93 million just prior to the pandemic recently sold for $190 million. Talk about a nice return:

https://www.wsj.com/articles/new-yor...ey-11642098997

Can the "cities are dead" narrative finally be put to rest? Or do we need a thousand more articles mansplaining how Google Teams will encourage everyone to move to rural Kentucky or an island in the South Pacific?
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  #593  
Old Posted Jan 14, 2022, 4:56 AM
Manitopiaaa Manitopiaaa is offline
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Got my first pre-approval! It's crazy sad that I make $120k and can still barely afford a townhouse in the D.C. suburbs. Now to decide whether to buy in the next few months, wait for spring and hope for better inventory, or wait till summer and hope for a Fed-induced housing price decline.

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  #594  
Old Posted Jan 14, 2022, 3:08 PM
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There have been some crazy real estate appreciations as of late. I was curious what my old crappy apartment in Atlanta was leasing for and the rent has gone up 30 percent in one year! A $400 a month increase.

There was a displacement of a lot of families with the first wave of gentrification caused rents to rise rapidly, but now those new residents are going to be gentrified out themselves.

I would not be surprised if Millennials start showing up at community meetings for new development and scream louder than the old NIMBYs about the lack of housing available. At least the millennials that took a basic economics class in college. It's already happening to an extent now that public meeting have moved online and are more accessible.
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  #595  
Old Posted Jan 14, 2022, 3:48 PM
mrnyc mrnyc is offline
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i can't get these nitwits out of my new staten condo purchase lol. they are waiting on a certificate of occupancy for their new place in nj. we had to throw money at it to extend the mortgage rate. so we wait. bleh.
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  #596  
Old Posted Jan 14, 2022, 5:11 PM
Crawford Crawford is online now
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Are you on the North Shore of SI? I bet that whole area is gonna explode in the next 20 years. Really good bones, and lots of city money planned for parks, transit, culture, etc. Also a huge recent rezoning. Probably a great investment.
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  #597  
Old Posted Jan 14, 2022, 5:32 PM
Investing In Chicago Investing In Chicago is offline
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Are you on the North Shore of SI? I bet that whole area is gonna explode in the next 20 years. Really good bones, and lots of city money planned for parks, transit, culture, etc. Also a huge recent rezoning. Probably a great investment.
100% agree. My parents recently moved to SI, on Forest Ave right off the park. SI get's a lot of hate, but I think it's fantastic, access to the city is terrible, but fairly easy to get to Jersey City / Hoboken
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  #598  
Old Posted Jan 14, 2022, 5:38 PM
Crawford Crawford is online now
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Agreed.

SI generally isn't my cup of tea, but it's still really affordable, some of the corridors are quite nice, almost all the neighborhoods are safe and decent, schools are above average, and now real urban amenities are arriving.

And the topography in many parts is pretty dramatic. You can get an impressive hilltop home, with amazing Manhattan and harbor views, for a not-crazy price.
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  #599  
Old Posted Jan 14, 2022, 6:13 PM
mrnyc mrnyc is offline
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Originally Posted by Crawford View Post
Are you on the North Shore of SI? I bet that whole area is gonna explode in the next 20 years. Really good bones, and lots of city money planned for parks, transit, culture, etc. Also a huge recent rezoning. Probably a great investment.
we are not anywhere yet -- grrr! -- but yes -- although keep in mind staten north shore been going to explode for the past 30yrs.

it likely will though, how can it not? there is already a big development planned for just west of the ferry:

https://www.silive.com/business/2021...-building.html
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  #600  
Old Posted Jan 14, 2022, 6:22 PM
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From The Eastsider:

543 N Mission Drive | San Gabriel
4 Beds | 3 Baths | $1,995,000

I like it. It even comes with a wine fridge. I'd get rid of the pool, though.



Home shoppers considering the San Gabriel Valley have likely explored the Pasadena-adjacent hamlet of San Gabriel. With tree-lined streets, beautiful historic homes and a wide array of mom-n-pop eateries, it's a great spot to settle and not at all hard to reach, just 12 miles from Echo Park.

The desirable neighborhood of North San Gabriel is the setting for this rare and exquisite Spanish featuring four bedrooms and a pool. Built in 1930 with design by Scott Quintin AIA, the meticulously preserved residence surrounds you in old world charm enhanced by a thorough and stylish renovation.

Gorgeous woodwork includes pitched ceilings, exposed beams, shutters, trim and flooring; there is built-in shelving and storage, multiple decorative fireplaces and colorful tile work. The kitchen has been recently updated with dark-hued countertops, full-height splash, a pro-style range, pot filler and wine fridge.

Polished Saltillo tile flows through French doors to the sun-drenched courtyard, a serene environment for morning coffee and evening meals. Two of the four bedrooms are ensuite and the large den is ideal for a playroom or media setup. Escape to the rear patio, a tranquil hideaway with a sparkling pool and spa.

Renowned for its Chinese cuisine, San Gabriel offers so much more. At the newly-opened Blossom Market Hall (right down the street!) you’ll find an open market of amazing food and beverages including excellent coffee options. For recreation and quiet time head to scenic and bucolic Lacy Park, just a few blocks away in neighboring San Marino.

Homes like this do not often come up for sale, making this a special opportunity in a part of LA County that might surprise you.







Link, with more pictures: https://www.theeastsiderla.com/spons...wHQ1CYxajw4Cmw
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Last edited by sopas ej; Jan 14, 2022 at 6:48 PM.
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