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  #13941  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 5:07 PM
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VANRIDERFAN VANRIDERFAN is online now
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Originally Posted by bradnixon View Post
That's pretty good. I guess you must be quite close to Tunney's?
About a 15minute walk.
     
     
  #13942  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 5:08 PM
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Originally Posted by Acajack View Post
I've been in my house since the early 2000s. I've had an outdoor thermometer since then and the coldest I've seen is -34. This could have been in 2000-2011 or might have been in the years prior.

Though I am usually pretty bang on with the YOW weather station, or within a half degree or one degree.

I am in Gatineau but my readings are always closer to YOW than to Gatineau airport's readings which as weather watchers know is in a frost hollow and can sometimes be 5-10 degrees colder than YOW on the frostiest winter mornings.

(As the crow flies there is not much difference in the distance between my house and Gatineau airport vs. my house to YOW.)
The data I gave is not for YOW station, but the CDA station, which is located at the Experimental Farm. The CDA station is usually a hair warmer than YOW (particularly at night), because of the urban heat island, so it's more reflective of temperatures inside the urban area.

Last edited by CityTech; Jan 16, 2020 at 5:38 PM.
     
     
  #13943  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 5:16 PM
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Originally Posted by lrt's friend View Post
For some, this will offer even worse service. Unless, you live on the Confederation Line corridor, or in Kanata, everywhere else will require a minimum of two transfers. Moodie Station will have few if any bus routes coming from inside the Greenbelt.

The Confederation Line will offer great service if your destination is on the line. If your start and end points are off the Confederation Line, service will not be convenient. This is a perfect illustration of the last mile problem.

For those travelling from Barrhaven to the Carling Campus after Phase 2, they will face three transfers during peak hours. At Baseline, Lincoln Fields and at Moodie. This will encourage people to drive.

We are building a transit system with a lack of alternatives, again the lack of redundancy that I brought up when trains fail, but also the lack of ability to get directly between locations in the city without a bunch of transfers. People's tolerance of transfers is limited. There is always a transfer penalty and it is very difficult to make up for that penalty even with frequency. Even a 5 minute wait, is a 5 minute loss.

caveat.doctor's illustration shows that even a direct bus every half hour is better than a frequent rapid transit line and frequent bus routes with two transfers on a less direct routing. It is almost impossible to make up the time lost by the two transfers and the more out of the way route.
Except "direct buses every half hour" will still have a last mile problem, because you can't possibly have direct buses to every address in the city; so most people are going to have to transfer to local routes anyway. And that transfer is going to be way worse because now one of the routes is only 30 minutes.

It's better to invest the services in a single high-frequency route to Moodie or Lincoln Fields for this reason.

You can have either:
a) What bradnixon and most of us are advocating: a single high frequency route to Moodie/Bayshore/Lincoln Fields, followed by easy (high-frequency) transfers to O-Train or Rapid bus routes, followed by the inevitable transfer to a low frequency route: this is great for those who live along the main routes, and meh for everyone else
b) What you're advocating: a series of low frequency point to point routes to various destinations, followed by inevitable transfer to a low frequency route. This is at best a wash for those along the main routes (as they now have a direct route, but have to wait a lot longer for it, cancelling out any gains from not having to transfer), and is even worse for those who don't, as they still have transfers except now all of them are low frequency!
     
     
  #13944  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 7:27 PM
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For those who think that new direct routes to Carling Campus and other locations are the answer, please read and consider this: https://humantransit.org/07box.html
     
     
  #13945  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 8:07 PM
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Originally Posted by CityTech View Post
Except "direct buses every half hour" will still have a last mile problem, because you can't possibly have direct buses to every address in the city; so most people are going to have to transfer to local routes anyway. And that transfer is going to be way worse because now one of the routes is only 30 minutes.

It's better to invest the services in a single high-frequency route to Moodie or Lincoln Fields for this reason.

You can have either:
a) What bradnixon and most of us are advocating: a single high frequency route to Moodie/Bayshore/Lincoln Fields, followed by easy (high-frequency) transfers to O-Train or Rapid bus routes, followed by the inevitable transfer to a low frequency route: this is great for those who live along the main routes, and meh for everyone else
b) What you're advocating: a series of low frequency point to point routes to various destinations, followed by inevitable transfer to a low frequency route. This is at best a wash for those along the main routes (as they now have a direct route, but have to wait a lot longer for it, cancelling out any gains from not having to transfer), and is even worse for those who don't, as they still have transfers except now all of them are low frequency!
A frequent one size fits all route will never work well for a lot of people.

Occasionally, there is merit in alternatives even at lower frequencies if it is a lot more direct across the city. A perfect example is a route from RCMP headquarters on Prince of Wales to the east end. There is no way that a frequent route via Baseline station and downtown is going to be faster.

Remember the example of a few months ago where a rider starting on Woodroffe and Hunt Club had to go via downtown to reach south Bank Street. This was a startling deficiency in our transit system because it offered nothing beyond the trunk line through downtown to go a relatively short distance.
     
     
  #13946  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 8:26 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Originally Posted by lrt's friend View Post
A frequent one size fits all route will never work well for a lot of people.

Occasionally, there is merit in alternatives even at lower frequencies if it is a lot more direct across the city. A perfect example is a route from RCMP headquarters on Prince of Wales to the east end. There is no way that a frequent route via Baseline station and downtown is going to be faster.

Remember the example of a few months ago where a rider starting on Woodroffe and Hunt Club had to go via downtown to reach south Bank Street. This was a startling deficiency in our transit system because it offered nothing beyond the trunk line through downtown to go a relatively short distance.
This is starting to sound like complaints about the RT transfer in Scarborough.

Only in Ottawa, it's even worse because bus service isn't frequent. I would much rather put up with 2-3 transfers with some of those transfers on the rail system than wait on the sidewalk for our woefully underdeveloped and underfunded bus network to pick me up.

Guess what? If you choose to live in a suburb, you get to put up with one more transfer. People in cities all around the world put up with it. You paid less for your home and got more space. This is the tradeoff.
     
     
  #13947  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 8:28 PM
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Originally Posted by bradnixon View Post
For those who think that new direct routes to Carling Campus and other locations are the answer, please read and consider this: https://humantransit.org/07box.html
That is interesting but I don't entirely buy it. You cannot have one size fits all transit route, which is what we are creating with the Confederation Line.

I have always advocated a grid system with several frequent routes to allow more easy navigation around the city without long deviations to reach the one 'chosen' very frequent route.

https://www.citymetric.com/transport/why-do-so-many-public-transport-networks-use-grid-systems-955
     
     
  #13948  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 8:33 PM
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Originally Posted by Radster View Post
Knock on wood, but haven't been hearing much about LRT issues lately.

Anyone know how many trains are running these days, still 13?
I was thinking the same thing until....

Looks like they were saving up small issues to deliver us one massive issue:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ottawa-lrt-confederation-line-wire-broken-1.5429328
     
     
  #13949  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 8:41 PM
Truenorth00 Truenorth00 is offline
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Originally Posted by lrt's friend View Post
That is interesting but I don't entirely buy it. You cannot have one size fits all transit route, which is what we are creating with the Confederation Line.

I have always advocated a grid system with several frequent routes to allow more easy navigation around the city without long deviations to reach the one 'chosen' very frequent route.

https://www.citymetric.com/transport/why-do-so-many-public-transport-networks-use-grid-systems-955
A grid system would be great.....if we could afford it. Effectively it means building another East-West line in the Southern half of the city. Nobody has money for that in this town.
     
     
  #13950  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 8:51 PM
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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
A grid system would be great.....if we could afford it. Effectively it means building another East-West line in the Southern half of the city. Nobody has money for that in this town.
It was called the Baseline BRT

There is no need to build rail on every frequent route but it would be nice to invest a little bit in some priority routes.
     
     
  #13951  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 8:53 PM
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Originally Posted by daud View Post
I was thinking the same thing until....

Looks like they were saving up small issues to deliver us one massive issue:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ottawa-lrt-confederation-line-wire-broken-1.5429328
It would be interesting to know the extent of streetcar failures during the 1950s when the system was clearly aging.
     
     
  #13952  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 8:57 PM
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Originally Posted by daud View Post
I was thinking the same thing until....

Looks like they were saving up small issues to deliver us one massive issue:

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/ottawa/ottawa-lrt-confederation-line-wire-broken-1.5429328
The headline tells us how serious this failure is.

LRT could be halted until Friday
     
     
  #13953  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 9:00 PM
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Originally Posted by bradnixon View Post
When I spoke to an OC Transit planner in the spring, she told me that transit ridership there was rather poor (and that was with the 101/103 in place).
It’s all relative I guess, but for what it’s worth, there are more workers at Carling now than last year, and the (fewer) times I use the bus now, there are maybe half as many people than before. Data on ridership would be helpful (and hopefully is being used to guide decision making).

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Originally Posted by bradnixon View Post
Since then the LRT has opened and the route changes have been implemented. Route 66 was beefed up from what was originally shown in the proposed schedules last winter. I'm curious where things are at now. Your trip is worse because you need to transfer but others could be better.
Credit for OC to being responsive on improving the 66 - initially it was only every 30 min during the DND/CAF rush hour, which tends to be earlier than the rest of the city, but they increased to every 15 min. That said, I question that stopping the 55 short to Bayshore (vs serving Carling Campus as the 101/103 did) and relying instead on the 66 (and 58) improved city-wide connectivity, especially at the harm to those who used it outside of areas served by Line 1.

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Originally Posted by bradnixon View Post
I'm skeptical how those routes will work. They will probably only be able to offer a couple round trips to each location so the schedules will only work for a few. It would probably be better if they had a super high frequency shuttle between Carling Place and Moodie/Bayshore to connect with the rest of the OC network. That's the most likely game plan post-Stage 2 as well.
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Originally Posted by CityTech View Post
Except "direct buses every half hour" will still have a last mile problem, because you can't possibly have direct buses to every address in the city; so most people are going to have to transfer to local routes anyway. And that transfer is going to be way worse because now one of the routes is only 30 minutes.

It's better to invest the services in a single high-frequency route to Moodie or Lincoln Fields for this reason.
I agree with you both, I worry special routes will be so “boutique” as to not really make a boost in ridership/dent in parking demand (and bradnixon’s link on The New Route Problem captures this well, I agree). A very frequent shuttle with Bayshore could work - one straightforward way to do this is extend the 55 to Carling Campus, so that combined with the 66 and the 58 you have that frequent (10 trips/hr, spaced properly) connection as well as better west-east network connectivity along the Queensway, south of the areas served by Line 1.

Quote:
Originally Posted by lrt's friend View Post
We are building a transit system with a lack of alternatives, again the lack of redundancy that I brought up when trains fail, but also the lack of ability to get directly between locations in the city without a bunch of transfers. People's tolerance of transfers is limited. There is always a transfer penalty and it is very difficult to make up for that penalty even with frequency. Even a 5 minute wait, is a 5 minute loss.

caveat.doctor's illustration shows that even a direct bus every half hour is better than a frequent rapid transit line and frequent bus routes with two transfers on a less direct routing. It is almost impossible to make up the time lost by the two transfers and the more out of the way route.
Quote:
Originally Posted by lrt's friend View Post
Remember the example of a few months ago where a rider starting on Woodroffe and Hunt Club had to go via downtown to reach south Bank Street. This was a startling deficiency in our transit system because it offered nothing beyond the trunk line through downtown to go a relatively short distance.
I’m not actually saying that direct but less frequent is better overall, but I agree there are situations where alternatives to going up to the trunk line are needed: echoing your point on redundancy. Besides serving those south of Line 1, cancelling the 101/103 eliminated this redundancy for south/central/east end commuters. Reconnecting the 55 to Carling Campus and extending it further east to Orleans (i.e., restoring the 103) for example would provide redundancy to Line 1 and take pressure off Tunney’s and Blair as transfer points.

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Originally Posted by VANRIDERFAN View Post
About a 15minute walk.
I’m actually not that much different walk time from Tunney’s, yet the service changes drastically increased my bus commute while keeping VANRIDERFAN’s reasonable - I assume because I live south of the Queensway so connecting at Tunney’s is a detour for me. (What was your commute time before the changes?) I think this just adds to my observation that relying on Line 1 as the primary east-west link isn’t enough - a link further south (like the old 101/103 along the Queensway/Carling/174) serves a different market.

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Originally Posted by Truenorth00 View Post
Guess what? If you choose to live in a suburb, you get to put up with one more transfer. People in cities all around the world put up with it. You paid less for your home and got more space. This is the tradeoff.
Or in this case, people paid more for their homes and got less space in more central parts of the city, "chose" (well, military orders) to work in a suburb, had workable transit service before but had it taken away.

All this to say - I get that resources are limited and there are tradeoffs, that the situation is still evolving, and that ultimately transit might not work for everyone. If the changes actually led to increased ridership rates at Carling, great - I doubt it, but if it did, then obviously the greater good wins. For the time being I’m back to driving mostly, but if things improve I’d love to get back to being a monthly passholder and “being part of the solution”.

(Long tangent to the original question about how the LRT has turned out! I just meant to give an example of the downside, that the concurrent bus changes made transit unfeasible at least for 1 former car-free commuter.)
     
     
  #13954  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 10:09 PM
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All this to say - I get that resources are limited and there are tradeoffs, that the situation is still evolving, and that ultimately transit might not work for everyone. If the changes actually led to increased ridership rates at Carling, great - I doubt it, but if it did, then obviously the greater good wins. For the time being I’m back to driving mostly, but if things improve I’d love to get back to being a monthly passholder and “being part of the solution”.
Individual cases don't necessarily mean that there is not a net gain, but we have seen so many instances where people have been driven away from transit by a variety of changes over the years. Once somebody leaves the system as a regular user, it is very difficult to win them back. I know. I am one of them. Once we see some ridership figures, we will have a better idea. Some previous changes were not kind to OC Transpo.
     
     
  #13955  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 10:22 PM
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Now they are suggesting that people look for other travel arrangements or work from home tomorrow. They do not have enough buses to provide alternate service without disrupting the whole transit network. In other words, cancelled trips galore.

Wow! Transit officials urging people not to use transit. We have gotten to this point.
     
     
  #13956  
Old Posted Jan 16, 2020, 10:55 PM
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How can a brand new wire break like that? Incredible.
     
     
  #13957  
Old Posted Jan 17, 2020, 12:39 AM
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Originally Posted by zzptichka View Post
How can a brand new wire break like that? Incredible.
We have a full-on lemon on our hands. I have no idea where the city goes from here. Maybe by spring the dust will settle but man this has been quite the sh#% show of a rollout/first 6 months.
     
     
  #13958  
Old Posted Jan 17, 2020, 2:28 AM
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Originally Posted by daud View Post
We have a full-on lemon on our hands. I have no idea where the city goes from here. Maybe by spring the dust will settle but man this has been quite the sh#% show of a rollout/first 6 months.
To be honest it had been getting much better over the past little while. This is a very unexpected development, but I don't think it's any particular indication of anything systematic like the door issues were.
     
     
  #13959  
Old Posted Jan 17, 2020, 2:32 AM
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We have a full-on lemon on our hands. I have no idea where the city goes from here. Maybe by spring the dust will settle but man this has been quite the sh#% show of a rollout/first 6 months.
A few years ago, a new highway bridge cut off traffic between Eastern and Western Canada. It was due to bolts that couldn't handle the cold. This kind of thing does happen.
     
     
  #13960  
Old Posted Jan 17, 2020, 4:07 AM
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Originally Posted by swimmer_spe View Post
A few years ago, a new highway bridge cut off traffic between Eastern and Western Canada. It was due to bolts that couldn't handle the cold. This kind of thing does happen.
But, there was a response to that critical break in the Trans-Canada Highway. They have built redundancy by building a second bridge at that location.
     
     
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