as i suspect is true in many (most?) other places, 2020 presidential voting patterns in the chicago MSA lined up somewhat neatly with the % of NH-white people in a given county.
the lower the proportion of NH-white people, the more heavily the county tended to go for biden, and vice-versa, generally speaking.
County: NH-white % (biden/trump margin)
Cook: 40.5% (+50.3)
Lake (IN): 50.4% (+15.1)
Kane: 54.7% (+14.4)
Lake (IL): 57.2% (+24.1)
Will: 60.1% (+8.4)
Dupage: 63.4% (+18.1)
Kendall: 64.2% (+5.7)
Dekalb: 71.0% (+5.7)
Kenosha: 72.1% (+3.2)
Mchenry: 76.9% (+2.5)
Porter: 79.1% (+6.1)
Grundy: 82.8% (+25.8)
Newton: 87.2% (+52.1)
Jasper: 88.4% (+49.1)
MSA Total: 50.2% (+32.3)
it's also interesting to see how clearly the counties with the highest concentrations of the college-educated professional class (Lake (IL) & Dupage) punched well above their NH-white % share in terms of biden margin.
of course none of this is surprising, it's all stuff we knew from exit polling, but i was still curious to do the breakdown now that we have the census 2020 demo figures.
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Last edited by Steely Dan; Nov 2, 2021 at 8:11 PM.
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