Quote:
Originally Posted by eternallyme
Part 1 of 4 - here is how I would rate the ridings right now. Starting in the west.
British Columbia
Burnaby South - Safe NDP
Victoria - Leaning Green
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Kudos to your work eternallyme! I will give ya a B+/A- score on your BC predictions and ya are apparently in ON. Not bad. Not bad at all.
Now I have selected 2 foregoing BC ridings for some interesting "on the ground" intel. Apparently, according to an NDP source, the Liberals are winning the "lawn" sign war, more or less, in Burnaby South.
Significant because Liberal lawn signs were not that prominent thereto during the 2008 Dion/2011 Iggy campaigns. Pre-2008, the Liberals had considerable strength in Van City proper and adjoining inner suburbs of North Shore/Burnaby/Richmond. Anecdotally it appears that Lib/CPC and Lib/NDP switchers are moving back to the Liberals there in numbers.
Even today, in Victoria, a well known BC political reporter tweeted that he has noticed a surprising number of Liberal lawn signs in Victoria recently. Liberals held the seat about a decade ago.
And the Liberals have made an apparent HUGE media buy in the Metro Van market... both TV and radio in high-rating time slots. Never seen anything like this since 2004/2006. Their internals obviously must be telling them something.
And today, the Liberals released a "Made in BC" commercial with JT, which is not too shabby:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Ac3QIli9no