Quote:
Originally Posted by yuriandrade
They're a bit tied together. If world's population collapse, picture how our cities would like, with the idle infrastructure everywhere, vacant houses, etc. And forget economies of scale. With much less people, some goods and services would be discontinued altogether due the lack of demand and we'll be poorer overall, with much of our needs left unmet.
From the environmental point of view, 1 billion people Earth would be better. But from mankind, definitely not.
In any case, world's population won't grow for much longer.
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The Western world has progressed massively technologically, achieved economies of scale, and it has under 1 billion. The argument is that an additional 6 billion people starting to consume more outweighs the benefit the world might accrue from that additional 6 billion people. At some point, the negatives outweigh the positives and we're well beyond that point. The world is better off with 1 billion wealthy, educated, technologically advanced people instead of what we have now: those 1 billion living in affluent nations + another 6 billion attempting to get there.
Any way, back to population data. The New York/Michigan populations are for July 1, 2019 and the Ontario/Quebec figures is from July 1st, 2020. The population change over the previous year is in brackets. Will New York ever get to 20 million and will Michigan ever get to 10 million? Maybe not. If trendiness continue, Ontario will have more people than New York by 2034. Quebec would pass Michigan by 2035. As with all extrapolations, it's more a statistical analysis rather than a prediction.
One thing is clear, there's a re-balancing occurring between central Canada and Great Lakes states. There's also a re-balancing occurring between the US Northeast Corridor and the adjacent Quebec City - Windsor Corridor on the Canadian side. Not too long ago there were roughly 3 times more people in the US corridor but we're moving towards a 2:1 population ratio.
New York: 19,453,561 (-76,790)
Michigan: 9,986,857 (+2,785)
Ontario: 14,745,040 (+260,798)
Quebec: 8,552,362 (+104,753)
New York: -76,790 X 15 = -1,151,850
Ontario: +260,798 X 14 = +3,651,172
New York population in 2034: 19,453,561 - 1,151,850 = 18,301,711
Ontario population in 2034: 14,745,040 + 3,651,172 = 18,396,212
Michigan. +2,785 X 16 = +44,560
Quebec: +104,753 X 15 = +1,571,295
Michigan population in 2035 = 9,986,857 + 44,560 = 10,031,417
Quebec population in 2035 = 8,552,362 + 1,571,295 = 10,123,657
https://www.census.gov/newsroom/pres...st-nation.html
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1...pid=1710000901