Quote:
Originally Posted by eschaton
It seems like the ACS just modeled the number of people leaving the Northeast/Midwest for the Sun Belt as way, way too high. Interestingly, this almost certainly means that the "decline of cities" that people were suggesting based on ACS data - that big cities in the Northeast/West Coast started to decline in population once Trump effectively ended immigration and birth rates continued to plummet - none of that ever happened.
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The annual estimates are absolutely politicized and not just by the the previous POTUS. He just took it to an extreme, absurd level.
A real world example - there's a national imputation for number of residents per public housing unit, adjusted for unit size. Something like 40% of the public housing units in the U.S. are in NYC. It's well-known that there are a lot of "off the books" public housing residents (boyfriends, aunts, etc.) and illegal sublets and rented rooms.
How do you count these hidden residents? This (very political) decision alone probably accounts for a 100k+ swing in NYC population. But with an enumerated count, you at least have a shot at semi-ballpark accuracy.