Quote:
Originally Posted by MonctonRad
If NB was as profligate in it's testing as NS, we would have a lower positivity rate too..........
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The relevant questions are more if we think NB would turn up 0 extra cases by doing 6x the testing (doubtful; do we even know false positives much below 1 in 5,000?) and how much of that is community spread (given that many are contacts and this is on the down-slope of an outbreak with rising vaccination rates and lag in data collection).
It seems more accurate to consider both to be back down near 0 at this point rather than looking at relative rates. If NB had 3 cases and NS had 1 the "clickbait headline" would be over 3x the rate in NB but the better real-world interpretation would be very low risk in both provinces.
If this level of risk aversion were applied last summer the Atlantic provinces never would have done a bubble at all. Back then, none of the most vulnerable people were vaccinated.