Quote:
Originally Posted by Stay Stoked Brah
There is no way that New York and LA csa will shrink.
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Yet the US Census Bureau data shows that it is. Click on the link for 2018-2019 that says 'Combined Statistical Area; and for Puerto Rico'. It's the 6th one down.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Stay Stoked Brah
Since the year 2000, the US has added 51 million people to the population .....
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All true but things don't remain constant forever. What was true 2000-2020 isn't true today. Natural Increase (Births - Deaths) is going down as is Net Migration (immigration - emigration). The US is adding fewer people each year than it used to. 51 million represents an average annual increase of 2,550,000 people over the time period you posted (2000-2020). The US only added 1,552,022 people from 2018 to 2019. The trend line is down and will continue heading down due the demographic realities that exist today. Baby Boomers will start dying off in large number (it will start this decade) and Migration to the US is heading down.
https://www.census.gov/data/tables/t...al-areas.html#
Quote:
Originally Posted by yuriandrade
Those blips are common on the US yearly estimates. However, I still don't see Los Angeles going negative for a long period (2020-2030).
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You're correct that numbers go up and down but it would be amiss to dismiss that fundamentals (Natural Increase, Net Migration) are changing. I see variation in annual LA CSA population change (like you do) but with most years (2020-2030) in negative territory. See above.