Quote:
Originally Posted by summersm343
How do you expect population to decrease with new construction left and right and no reports of homes being abandoned in parts of the city? You think people are what, just moving out and holding onto their homes and leaving them empty? Only the wealthy can afford to do that. If people are holding onto them but renting them out, then guess what.... renters count as residents.
I would be interested to know your line of thinking here.
Again, this census count covers the throes of the pandemic where it was widespread knowledge that renters were moving out and moving back in with their parents, the wealthy were fleeing for their country or suburban estates and vacation homes, etc. etc.
Why anybody would take stock in this census and say Philadelphia is now on a permanent decline or will be flat in growth over the next decade is pretty mind boggling. Again, we have to wait for the next year or two at least to see if Philadelphia has recovered (which I believe it already has or is close to a full recovery).
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The metro's demographics aren't in favor of sustained growth. I'm just being realistic. Births and immigration have bee the reasons for the 'growth'. Domestic migration has not been in the city's favor for a century. Gen Z in the Delaware Valley is markedly smaller than the previous generation. So you aren't going to get as much of a bump from that either. From most accounts, the QOL/crime/economy is getting worse in NE and SW (along with large parts of North and West Philly that seemingly have no bottom) areas of Philadelphia which is a doubly bad thing because that's the landing spot for a lot of immigrants. People having less babies in general. All projections show the population is getting older by the year now.
Like I said, I hope socioeconomic factors for the median resident improve by the end of the decade as more and more units come online in gentrified neighborhoods. I'm sorry, I'm a big city booster and have been for a long time, but the fact that the city had the best decade economically in a generation and completely squandered it already, makes me feel very much that the 'revival' is much more a house of cards than anything else.