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Old Posted Apr 17, 2020, 6:20 AM
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Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: Vancouver
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Quote:
Originally Posted by OldDartmouthMark View Post
This may not be new or interesting information to some, but it gives me great confidence in Nova Scotia's efforts to curb this virus.
It really has not caught on in NS like in the hot spots. NS hit 100 cases 18 days ago and is at 549 known with 3 deaths. 18 days after hitting 100 cases, NY was at 37,258 and had around 300 deaths.

It will be interesting to see what the eventual data is from antibody testing, and if there are any differences in the strains that have affected different areas. Viruses constantly mutate and these differences may become epidemiologically significant. If we are lucky a milder strain will proliferate more. It is even possible it will be worth inoculating people with a milder strain, just the live virus or some attenuated version. That's how early smallpox prevention worked.

There will always be anecdotes about people of different ages but so far it looks like it really hits elderly and those with comorbidities harder (and it may just be that elderly tend to have more pre-existing conditions, or maybe there's more to it than not; not sure). The median death in most places is around 80 and NS is like this so far if not higher. There have been a few high-profile younger deaths but they are a small percentage of the total and they may have comorbidities (e.g. severely weakened by cancer). It's pretty striking on a statistical level.

Italy deaths by age: https://www.statista.com/statistics/...gion-in-italy/

80-89 year olds: 7,890
20-29: 7 (in a country with over 160,000 known to be infected!)
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