Quote:
Originally Posted by muppet
They predict Lagos, Kinshasa and Dar Es Salaam at having a stab at over 80 million.
West Africa and the East African lakes (even the small towns of Blantyre and Lilongwe will have ballooned to over 40 million by then) will become new centres of humanity, to join the Indian subcontinent and East Asia.
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The problem with these type of predictions is that they seemingly fail to account for the fact that growth in developing countries is either already levelling off, or inevitably will slow as they urbanize & become wealthier. That, and cities naturally slow down as they increase in size as smaller centres start to feed off of them (we can see this in the US for example, where most growth has now shifted from NY & LA to smaller & mid-sized cities). Growth is not infinite.
I doubt any of these cities will ever reach those populations - though they will still no doubt be amongst the world's largest in the coming decades.