Thread: Texas Triangle
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Old Posted Oct 28, 2019, 12:41 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dariusb View Post
Very interesting.. Since Dallas's suburbs are growing north along Central Expressway (75) towards Oklahoma and parts of 75 are being upgraded to interstate standards, I wonder will that corridor one day become part of the interstate system?
It has been the plan all along for I-45 to be an interstate from Galveston up to around Kansas City. It's slowly getting back to that as the growth is starting to warrant it.

Quote:
Originally Posted by MonkeyRonin View Post
When growth is driven primarily by migration (as opposed to natural increase), the rate of growth is not compounded indefinitely. It's inherently going to slow as there are only so many prospective migrants available (in about 100 more years Texas' population will exceed that of the entirety of the US!) - as it already has since the 90s & 00s. And especially as boomers start to pass away in large numbers over the next few decades, we're going to see depressed growth rates across the board.

Cities also tend to reach a certain threshold where growth slows considerably. Once they reach a size where distances & congestion increases to the point where it's no longer feasible to commute from the outer edge of the city, land values rise, and the forces that have driven much of the growth in Texas (low cost of living), will start to reverse. Houston and Dallas are likely to experience the same thing as Los Angeles, which saw a skyrocketing population during the mid-century suburban boom since gradually slow down more and more as the place has increasingly filled up. Put simply, greenfield suburban growth is a lot easier than growth through intensification.
Yeah migration growth tends to slow over time and there's also more "competition" for the Texas cities that battle for migrant growth (NC cities, Denver, Nashville, increasingly Kansas City, etc.), but the Texas Triangle is seeing the most domestic migrants now than ever. It's also receiving more international immigrants as other regions traditionally seen as the hubs have become too costly (NYC, LA, SF, etc.). This coupled with continued major corporate relocation that has now attracted their supplies/vendors too.

I think the growth will still be high for the foreseeable future because they already have most big city amenities and are still relatively cheap.
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