Quote:
Originally Posted by q12
Census results should be wake-up call
February 11, 2012 - 4:34am BY MARILLA STEPHENSON
http://thechronicleherald.ca/opinion...d-be-wake-call
Quote:
Halifax’s population, at 390,000 people, still makes the city by far the largest capital region among the four Atlantic provinces, and it had the greatest growth in terms of number of people who moved here, with 18,000 more people moving to Halifax since 2006.
But the rate of growth in Halifax, at 4.7 per cent, is the second-smallest among all the Atlantic region cities. New Brunswick cities are booming in comparison. Moncton is up 9.7 per cent, Fredericton 9.3 per cent, St. John’s 8.8 per cent and even tiny Charlottetown grew at 8.7 per cent.
Only Saint John, at 4.4 per cent, was in a similar position to Halifax, while the news in Cape Breton is dismal, to say the least.
So, if things are so hot in the cities, why are the cities in other Atlantic provinces managing to expand at a rate that is mostly double the rate experienced in Halifax?
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Well maybe it has something to do with  undercounts that haven't been adjusted. Maybe people in New Brunswick have a lot more time on their hands to fill out the census. These absolute numbers which stats canada has said need to be adjusted, will not give the true growth rate until they are adjusted. It'a starting to get annoying. |
One thing that I find very odd is that the
employment numbers for the Halifax CMA have increased significantly since 2006; from 199.5K in 2006 to 223.9 K in 2011. That is a 12.2% increase for the Halifax CMA whereas the Moncton employment numbers went from 66.5K in 2006 to 71.4K in 2011, which is a 7.4% increase. Here are links to the employment numbers:
2006 employment numbers -
http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/labor70a-eng.htm
2011 employment numbers -
http://www40.statcan.gc.ca/l01/cst01/labor35-eng.htm
The labour force has also increased significantly more in the Halifax CMA than Moncton; for the Halifax CMA the labour force went from 212.9K in 2006 (
http://www40.statcan.ca/l01/cst01/labr87a-eng.htm) to 238.3K in 2011 (
http://www40.statcan.gc.ca/l01/cst01/labor35-eng.htm) which is a 11.9% increase between 2006 and 2011. On the other hand, Moncton went from 70.9K in 2006 to 77.2K in 2011, which is a 8.9% increase.
Either the labour data for the past 5 years is significantly off, or the Halifax CMA has a very high census under-count rate for 2011 (it was 2.84% in 2006 -
http://www12.statcan.gc.ca/census-re...01_2_2-eng.cfm). There were some cities that had high under-count rates in 2006 of 5 - 6%, although 2.87% was the 2006 average for all CMA's. I can't think of a reason why it would be so much larger in 2011 than 2006.