Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom In Chicago
OK now that we're in the runoff times, I've got questions. . .
1) Given that only 1/3 of eligible Chicago voters showed up to the general, what percentage do you expect for the runoff?
2) Assuming Vallas/Johnson voters will continue to vote in line for their candidate come April, what percentage of those remaining voters will show up? Johnson will try to get most of the black vote but they are not a majority.
3) What percentage of those remaining votes go to whom? List ??% Vallas ??% Johnson for the following:
3a) Lori Lightfoot
3b) Jesus Garcia
3c) Willie Wilson
3d) Ja'Mal Green
3e) Kam Buckner
3f) Sophia King
3g) Roderick Sawyer
I'd like to think we could game this out and predict the winner in short order using my extremely inaccurate scientific method. . . what say you???
. . .
|
Is it possible Garcia's voters will gravitate to Vallas in a majority? Who will get the majority of the Hispanic vote? Who did the diverse Asian voters choose? Johnson is going to try to get most of the black vote but they are not a majority. Are there blocks of white voters attracted to Johnson?
The business group and their monies are clearly backing Vallas for good reason.
Turnout is going to be very important. Every Vallas voter has to go out and vote again preferably twice. Vallas needs about 15% more votes, but from whom the most?