[galleyfox]

Interesting to see the new polls for the race.

I had been skeptical of the results of the Joyce internal campaign poll, but now it looks like it hit the nail on the head.

Preckwinkle's support has been static. Meanwhile, a lot of Mendoza and Chico voters have Daley as their second choice if they decide to vote strategically. Preckwinkle loses to Daley in a runoff, whereas Lightfoot wins that contest. Lightfoot seems to have a higher ceiling than Preckwinkle...

So all in all, I would bet on a Daley vs. Lightfoot runoff.


Joyce Campaign Poll 2/14-15

Lightfoot 18%
Preckwinkle: 14%
Daley: 11%
Mendoza: 11%
Chico: 11%
Wilson: 12%

Change Research 2/22-23

Lightfoot: 14%
Daley: 14%
Preckwinkle: 14%
Mendoza: 10%
Chico: 9%
Wilson: 9%