The latest Ekos poll would translate almost in a three-way race in Kanata (would estimate a 34-32-26 or something like that).
I would say consider the progressive vote is fed up with Harper, I think whoever has the most momentum between the two, will probably chop a decent amount of voters from the other which could translate into an increase of tens of seats.
The recent Conservative-friendly pollster Angus-Reid (because they have a tendency of over polling Conservatives by a few points compared to others) even has the NDP ahead at 36 with 33 CPC (though minus the 3-5 CPC bias we can put it around 30) and the LPC at 23.
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"However, the Leafs have not won the Cup since 1967, giving them the longest-active Cup drought in the NHL, and thus are the only Original Six team that has not won the Cup since the 1967 NHL expansion." Favorite phrase on the Toronto Maple Leafs Wikipedia page.
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