[nwalbert]

Originally Posted by mylesmalley

We're in 2014. Three years out from the census. Next one is in 2016

I'm pretty confident in my statement though.
Annual population estimates from Statcan for each CMA: http://www.statcan.gc.ca/tables-tableaux/sum-som/l01/cst01/demo05a-eng.htm

Anyway, I don't want this to turn into a dick measuring contest .

I just assumed the last Census included 2011 which since 2014 just started would allow 2 years for additional growth. Assuming that growth rates continued and Moncton proper got about 50% of that growth, the cities would be roughly the same around this time, but as I said, we wont know until the next Census is released in 2016. I stand by my comments that it is far from a certainty at this point, although by 2016 it should be.