Quote:
Originally Posted by pico44
Oooooh this is gonna be fun. By my estimation one of three things will happen. Curious to see how it plays out
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Hay
Pray tell.
I would venture for Illinois that the collar counties grew enough to increase the Chicagoland MSA. Chicago has lost blacks to the southern part of the USA and southern Cook county [ remember the elimination of the projects, which is a good thing really ] and the out flux did not match the numbers of young and empty nesters that have moved into the new condos in LSE and others...
I suspect Chicago city limits will lose around 70-80 K Cook County will lose around 50 K but the rest of the growth in Illinois will be in the collar counties sans around -100K down state. Some cities down state have really taken it in the chin for some time now. One example is Decator. The flint mi of Illinois.
The empty towns of the far central west and the towns south of
Springfied continue to empty much like Iowa and the rest of the Empty quarter of the USA, see rural NE, MN, ....
Those little towns simpley cannot grow and we should expect population loss in towns and cities in Illinois outside the Chicagoland region to follow this path. There are no real educated jobs for those with higher degrees. Either they live in the Chicagoland area for new jobs, or the midwest or other areas of the country. But if you are born and raised [and later educated at a higher university level ] in central or anywhere really there are
no new jobs for you. So some states will depopulate their rural areas and there is little us or any other state that can stem that flow of brain drain that is moving to the larger job generators of the country, which luckily are in large to massive metro areas.