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What was the MWC's timeline for getting (or getting word that they won't get) a BCS auto-bid? That is the only reason a TCU move to the Big East makes any sense at all. How long would the MWC have to hold on?
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Without Utah but with Boise, the MWC would need to have a waiver to become an AQ conference. If the MWC loses TCU, the MWC is not going to become an AQ conference even with a waiver.