Quote:
Originally Posted by adamuptownsj
I think they can count on 1-2 in Newfoundland, 1-3 in PEI, 2-3 in Nova Scotia, and 4 in New Brunswick. So 8-12 sounds right.
338 Canada has them at 7, which is too low. It also doesn't take into account the new seats, for example, Moncton no longer includes Riverview. So it's surely staying Liberal. There's changes to the Halifax metro and CBRM that have material partisan impacts, but I can't find any info on what those changes are.
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In Cape Breton, the old Cape Breton-Canso district is expanding to take Antigonish plus the northern part of the Highlands but is losing Sydney suburbs like Glace Bay. The 2021 results transposed onto this district actually doesn't change the results at all, so it's a push. The old Sydney-Victoria district is now becoming a fully urban district which greatly benefits the Liberals, although not to the point where it's out of reach for the CPC.
The Halifax redistributing really doesn't change a whole lot there, each party is near their 2021 result in the transposed results. The real thing to watch is whether the NDP can capture Halifax, especially if Andy Fillmore steps down for a mayoral run.