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If not, well...there's no business case. |
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TBH Bombardier confuse me. Hopefully they can find a way to modify a Global business jet. |
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That program diverted capital from their regional prop and jet aircraft right when they could have used the capital infusion for new products. Loaded down with debt, Bombardier is in a jam. It doesn't have development capital to invest in its products. Effectively, the CSeries/A220 pushed Bombardier out of the commercial aviation business. A shame, as the CSeries is a damn fine aircraft by all accounts. At least the swan song for the Canadian aviation industry was one of its best products ever released. On a larger scale, the aviation business is consolidating into Boeing (who now has a joint venture with Embraer), Airbus (who has 50.01% of the CSeries, along with a stake in ATR) and others (the Russians, COMAC, Mitsubishi and what's left of Bombardier). |
Continued Growth at Winnipeg James Armstrong International Airport
Highest Annual Passenger Volume Reached as WAA Caps Robust Fourth Quarter
WINNIPEG, Manitoba – January 29, 2019 – Winnipeg Airports Authority (WAA) ended 2018 with another strong quarter and set a new record for passenger traffic. Winnipeg Richardson International Airport hosted 4.5 million travellers through its doors in 2018, a 4.2 percent increase over 2017’s passenger total. This marks five straight years of record growth at the airport. The surge was spurred on by an increase of 5.1% in the fourth quarter of 2018 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2017. Commercial freight traffic also remained high in 2018, with larger planes arriving more frequently in Winnipeg. Winnipeg Richardson International Airport continues to expand our region’s role as a critical transportation and logistics hub, as cargo plane tonnage, a key performance indicator for the number of goods being shipped, increased in 2018. U.S. tonnage saw a year over year increase of 17%, while domestic cargo carriers operations reflected a 2% increase. 2019 will be another exciting year for Winnipeg Richardson International Airport. WAA is refreshing/expanding areas of the terminal and doing rehabilitation work on the airfield as we continue the necessary work of facilitating the airport’s growth. This fall WAA will also open its new $27 million Ground Services Equipment building. https://www.waa.ca/media/news/articl...fourth-quarter |
YMX control tower will be staffed by ATC once again
As one control tower closes (YKZ, link here), another one will reopen.
Nav Canada, last year, launched a review of air traffic services at Mirabel airport, in order to determine if the level of service provided is adequate for future demand and traffic growth. The control tower has been manned by FSS (flight service specialists) on a 24h basis since December 2008. Transport Canada has now approved the change in level of service and air traffic controllers will soon provide control tower services to aircraft at YMX once again. An official timeline for the change hasn't yet been released, but is expected soon. This is very good news, and something airlines/companies that have been operating at YMX have wanted for a long time. Just like YHU, the plan is for controllers to staff the tower during the day, and FSS to take over during night-time. YMX handled over 65,000 aircraft movements in 2017. Although the airport never lived up to its full potential, It's nice to see YMX serving a purpose and busier than ever. https://scontent.fymy1-2.fna.fbcdn.n...94&oe=5CF3DCF6 Source: https://www.facebook.com/CATCA5454/p...type=3&theater |
https://globalnews.ca/news/4901525/s...rt-passengers/
Saskatoon topped 1.5 million for the first time ever in 2018. |
WestJet losing fans these days
'It's just gouging': WestJet charges $30 checked bag fee in US dollars, sparking complaints The $30 US fee applies to return flights from the U.S. and sun destinations in Latin America Sophia Harris · CBC News · Posted: Feb 02, 2019 Some WestJet passengers are crying foul after getting hit with a $30 checked bag fee charged in U.S. dollars. "This is a pretty sneaky and dirty way to squeeze extra money out of your customers," said Taryn Zielke who recently had to pay the fee. On Aug. 28, WestJet began charging baggage fees in U.S. dollars for return flights from the U.S., Latin America and the Caribbean. Many passengers started noticing after Oct. 1, when WestJet raised its first checked bag fee from $25 to $30 — which amounts to about $40 when charged in U.S. currency. The additional increase has enraged a number of customers who claim it's a "cash-grab." ... https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/wes...0-us-1.5002318 |
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Beyond revenue is the passenger flying YQL-YYC-LHR on a moderately priced economy ticket or better. For the privilege of doing YYC-YQL the pax must be willing to part with an extra $150. Where airlines and airports get into trouble is when the passenger is only willing to part with maximum $50 for the YYC-YQL sector. The other factor against 50 seaters and below is phenomenon called single digit demand price forecast. United Airlines did a big geek out of this 3-4 years ago. Basically computer modelling can't work in places where demand is in the single digits. In UAs case the computer system either put the price of a small market either way too cheap or way to expensive. Two people purchase more than expected and the revenue management system would freak out and jack up the price. Lets say you want to start YHZ-YQY (Cape Breton for the non-maritime province crowd). This sector gets fed by 6 or more domestic markets at YHZ. Each market is less than 9 passengers. The revenue management system has a better chance of getting the demand forecast right as Mainstreet polling as predicting the mayor of Calgary or the MLA for Nanaimo. So how does this answer the OP question. Well simply put; network scheduling, marketing, commercial development, etc. gtake turns beating up anyone who thinks buying 50 seater aircraft for network scheduled airline is a good idea. The markets that cannot be up-gauged to 75 seater Q400 or ATR72 will be dropped because they don't make commercial sense. This is all ready happening to the 37 seat market. The only reason a lot of current Atlantic Canada routes survive is on the expertise of the Jazz Aviation mechanics. Once those birds rust out, its game over for these markets. |
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https://ibb.co/v3PXzdL
An overview of YYZ W19 international one way seats per route, omitting sun destinations. |
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Bombardier will need the business jet division to put the company on sounder financial ground. If that happens they should attempt another plane (10-15 years down the road) to succeed the C-Series but partner with Mitsubishi. Partnering with Boeing or Airbus will just relegate Bombardier to a company within the Boeing or Airbus sphere. Partnering with Mitsubishi would re-ignite Bombardier's initial goal of becoming a viable rival to Boeing and Airbus.
Mitsubishi, no doubt, has similar ambitions. Bombardier and Mitsubishi have a far greater chance of success together than apart. We'd also have the heft of the Japanese government and economy behind it. |
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Considering their competitor (ATR) is 50% held by Airbus, the outlook for the Q400 is pretty grim. Worldwide, the Q400 has <25% of the 70+ seat prop market. Given it looks like the program is on a sunset trajectory, it will be hard to land new orders. That looks like a death spiral to me. Quote:
10-15 years is huge in aerospace. Engineering talent and organizational know-how evaporates after a program ends. Effectively, there won't be anything left (aside from a few left on the business jet division) to partner with and they'll be starting with a completely blank slate. I don't think Mitsubishi would bother with that. I expect Mitsubishi (and Boeing/Airbus) will vacuum up any talent left from the dissolution of BBD Aerospace. Aside from intellectual property, there simply won't be much else left after that. I do not expect Bombardier to fund another foray into the regional jet market. If I had to make a prediction, I would expect Airbus and Mitsubishi to launch a partnership should the MRJ prove successful, like Boeing and Embraer have done currently. |
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Likewise, United, likewise.
http://i66.tinypic.com/2ueqx61.png Basically, it had to make an unscheduled landing at Happy Valley-Goose Bay, Canada Border Services had no staff and didn't send any, so the passengers had to wait on the plane for, I think it was 16 hours. I would end up in prison. I would lose my fucking mind and ability to control myself. I can feel my chest tighten just thinking about being stuck on a plane on a goddamn tarmac, screaming for them to at least open the door or let me off. :haha: |
Global turboprop capacity up 22% since 2009; YVR #1 as Canada overtakes US
Speaking of CRJ100/200s and what will (or has) replace(d) them......
https://www.anna.aero/2019/01/30/glo...me-top-market/ highlights
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