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I don't know. That developer (Liberty) has no track record of built high-rise projects.
https://www.libertync.com/about They seem to have only worked and completed low rise apartment complexes in Florida. |
People are reaching out to me right now about 800 Broadway. Sounds like it's going to begin pretty quickly. Not many others in the industry have been contacted yet. I'm thinking info may trickle out over the next few weeks. Has anyone here heard anything about this project recently? Googling the address turn up some basic job info and the renderings...
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Downtown San Diego's office market is a complete disaster: people are mainly flocking to north county for business activity: https://www.costar.com/article/26541...virus-pandemic
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Got a nugget of news on 7th & Market:
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Hmm well a lot can happen in economy between now and then
Let's hope they try to break ground a bit sooner then next summer. Who knows what "second wave" or will they call it "third" of CV hits in November/Dec and the whole confusion of what is flu what is Covid etc. will do to the economy. More shutdowns :shrug:
Is it just me or does 9G look like a carbon copy of the Courthouse highrise UC on Broadway just 22 floors instead of 36 or whatever that one is? |
Development for the parking lots near Petco Park: https://eastvillagequarterinput.org/...erties_EVQ.pdf
The tallest of the 5 highrises looks like it could be a 500 footer. |
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Pleasantly surprised by this development. Looks good! Hopefully it doesn't get watered down
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The city council needs to just rubber stamp approve this thing and try to get a ground breaking ASAP because if they wait and the Coyote begins to drop (metaphor of cartoon where he runs of the cliff and is suspended in mid air before falling in to the abyss) on this economy it will not get financed.
Even the Fed and Goldman Sachs are saying the white collar blood letting of jobs is right around the corner so lets keep our fingers crossed that this puppy can get started. What chances do you guys give it :shrug: * I wonder if cities are just saying to themselves hey lets try to get as much construction started right now so we can have some economic activity going on because if they dilly dally like normal in "good times" they will miss out on the construction jobs etc. |
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rn we've got a higher unemployment rate than anytime since the great depression and a looming eviction crisis, so obviously thing are not great. To combat this the federal reserve has been printing money at an exorbitant rate, just giving anyone with a checkbook and a smile all the cash they want, partially to dull the effects of the crisis on the general public and partially because the WH wants to see the stock market recover. On that latter front this response has been extremely effective, the stock market has recovered and even grown since March. But it's a bit a facade, the stock market has recovered its previous numerical value because by printing all this money dollars are worth less aka inflation. So right now if you own a bunch of dollars, you'll want to turn them into something else because they're losing value. You could exchange them for another currency, but nearly every other government is doing the same thing so that's not as good an option. Or, you can convert them into a fixed asset aka real estate. Ideally you'd like to buy something that's already there, but property owners know all of the above so they're no looking to sell. So another option is to build in a safe market. Because there's so much money floating around borrowing is cheap, and labor is cheap because everyone is looking for a job. San Diego is a biotech hub, and biotech is one of the few growing markets (for reasons I think should be fairly clear). The stars have aligned to make seemingly crazy projects feasible. Oh and if you're wondering what the downside to all this is, you know besides all the death and homelessness and violent social unrest, inflation hurts anyone who can't readily convert their dollars into something else. Usually retirees are hit hardest. Also wage growth tends to lag behind inflation, so you'll be getting the same paycheck every week but it won't buy as much. For people living on minimum wage, which rarely changes, thing are going to get even worse than they are now. |
Great Analysis Will
One question though. Is there enough demand for biotech office space in DTSD to make the project on the Manchester land pencil (the new proposal from biotech giant guy forgot name), fill up Horton Plaza for Stockdale Capital, and this proposal on Petco Lot? That is a TON of new office space needing to be filled :shrug:
Like someone else noted a few posts ago there is already a lot of space from Del Mar Heights thru UTC/Sorrento Mesa being built or repurposed for biotech. |
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But at a certain point actually having people inhabit the office space can be secondary to just preserving value. With borrowing so cheap, you can afford to leave these buildings partially filled for years. As long as you think that eventually, someone will lease the space it can be a reasonable investment. Also MPG and the Petco Lot are strategic investments. A big investor like Manchester or Brookfield will put their hat in the ring now just to preserve the opportunity to build when the economy is better. There costs associated with that, including the cost of cancelling the whole thing if the economy doesn't recover at the rate you're expecting it to, but the potential benefits often outweigh them. |
Would have been so good!
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