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I also assume that they cannot connect to métro lines in areas where there are no métro lines, right?
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Can the train discussion go to the Transit thread? I know it started as a YUL tie in, but this discussion isn't airport related anymore.
3/4 of the major airports have reported September stats, YUL being the exception. YVR turned things around after a bleak August to post 2.8% growth in September, after declining 1.2% in August. Domestic and transborder up (transborder was also the only sector up in August) but still definite weakness from the international side. See breakdown below: Overall YYZ -0.2% YVR +2.8% YYC +3.3% Domestic YYZ +0.8% YVR +5.7% YYC +0.5% Transborder YYZ +0.4% YVR +2.5% YYC +8.0% International YYZ -1.6% YVR -1.8% YYC +17.3% Interesting the overalls and breakdowns. The weakness in international is definitely clear at YYZ and YVR, but YYC is not affected. Domestic is anemic at YYC and YYZ but strong at YVR. And then for overall traffic, YYZ declined (due to the dominance of international on overall numbers) while YVR and YYC had small gains overall. YUL has been doing quite well all year so let's see what September brings. But definitely things are much more tempered across the board. PS I am not posting Edmonton stats, you can check their thread for the details on what's happening to traffic there |
YUL September is up 4.3%, but no breakdown available just yet. Pretty safe to assume international number is leading the growth %.
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Yes I agree, the numbers have definitely come way down to earth after years of really good growth. Asia was always perennially a source of huge growth so to have that down is big. I wish other airports posted breakdown of international like YVR does, since it really shows what's happening. But I assume YYZ is having similar levelling off across different geographic areas too. For YVR, the "Misc." category basically encompassed Latin America (since that is the only international zone for flights outside of Europe and Asia/Pacifc) and had been growing at upwards of 40% year over year, so I am not surprised to see it coming back to normal levels. Asia Pac and Europe actually had much smaller declines in September than in August, but it is too soon to see if the declines have levelled off.
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Considering how much the numbers have grown over the years, is it time to maybe start cheering for a bit of a levelling off or even reduction considering the environmental impact of all these flights?
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Globally, aviation is responsible for only a tiny percentage of total carbon emissions, not to mention it is one of the most efficient forms of transport per passenger kilometer. There is no better way, no effective replacement, especially as distance increases. |
Now that I'm back home in Canada, I had a chance to fully review WS S20 long haul plans and just noticed they've reduced YYZ-BCN's season next year. Its only loaded until 13SEP20. This year it went until around October 20.
Still nothing planned on the 767s other than BCN and some YYC-YYZ runs. |
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NYT Sept 19, 2019 https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/19/c...emissions.html Quote:
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^ The tourism angle is the one I was thinking about. I mean, you can only go so far when people own a house and drive to work. Changing those high carbon footprint habits will take a while.
But think about how many people fly simply for fun, or for non-essential work travel (not talking about travel to perform surgery or be a witness at a trial, but for attending conferences, visiting client sites, etc.). Definitely some low hanging fruit there. |
I don't think any airport/airlines enthusiasts are happy when traffic declines or routes cut, even if it is technically good for the environment. The good thing is that as older planes get cut from fleets, the new planes are way more fuel efficient and technology will only help with that. Planes in the older days were far far worse than now (just like cars).
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You spend tons of fuel just to haul tons of fuel a long distance. The longer the flight is, the exponential rise in fuel required. Once upon a time, flying was so expensive that one could afford only a handful of intercontinental flights in a lifetime. Now, it's so ridiculously affordable as a Europe trip can be as little as a few days. I also have a sneaking suspicion that we're somewhere close to 'peak travel'. There's got to be a point where a lot of these tourist destinations get sick of hordes of people descending upon them. Some places in Europe have reached that point already. It's one thing if you're Las Vegas and that's your shtick, but I can't really imagine people in these little formerly bucolic places (think the coasts of Italy or something like that) really want more tourists cramming the place. I'd imagine airports like YYZ probably could use the break as well. |
You're right in that some places are sick of tourists, but I don't think we are at "peak travel" at all. People like to travel and explore new places, they always have, so new technology, increased wealth (globally), and lower costs of travel all point to increasing demand, not decreased.
And again with the YYZ comment, no airport wants "a break" from increasing flights and destinations. And if they do, then there's something wring with how they are being run... |
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I bet 2021 is a big year though, people still need to get places and the demand sure seems to be there. |
The growth at YUL should continue well into the Winter 2019/2020 season. No more Norwegian this winter, but it is more than made up by other carriers and routes that are operating this winter. 6% more sun seats, 12% more europe and Asia seats.
https://www.admtl.com/sites/default/...0%28002%29.pdf Quote:
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