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Alexcaban Feb 8, 2023 8:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 9860763)
Totally unrelated to any of the above discussions, but........

If what I'm seeing materializes, there will be a major carrier starting service to YUL this summer. Now, by no means is this a sure bet, as a few things need to happen beforehand for this to come true. And it is getting kind of tight to announce a new route for this summer. Nonetheless, the opportunity is there. I won't say who or where. That's for you to guess, but let's see what happens.

Either Ethiopian Airlines, LOT or Aer Lingus

SignalHillHiker Feb 8, 2023 11:20 PM

The Dobbins are probably the wealthiest family here, and have been for generations.

Mark Dobbin is building a hangar for private planes at the St. John's airport. Here's why

The St. John’s International Airport says about 10% of its landings are private

Quote:

A new hangar for private commercial jets is being built near the St. John's International Airport.

The COVID-19 pandemic hammered the global airline industry when it hit in early 2020, at one point reducing flight volumes at St. John's International Airport to a historic low, dropping to five per cent of normal traffic.

While traffic at the airport since then has recovered to about two-thirds of 2019 levels, the effects of the pandemic still linger, and officials say it will take time for a full rebound.

But Mark Dobbin, president and founder of Killick Capital and one of the people behind the new hangar development, says private travel is bucking the trend and has already bounced back with volumes in 2021 and 2022 above pre-pandemic levels.

"The business jet market, the corporate aircraft, saw significant flying volumes … so the demand is quite strong," Dobbin told CBC News.

In a statement the St. John's International Airport says about 10 per cent of its landings are private planes. With just over 12,000 flights landing last year, that means about 1,200 arrivals at the airport were private planes.

Dobbin says there are a number of reasons that private, corporate travel is seeing strong demand.

First, he said, there was a reduction in the number of commercial flights available during the pandemic, making charter flights more attractive for some people who needed to travel. Some people also perceived it as a safer option during the pandemic, he said.

Dobbin, whose father Craig is well known in the aviation industry for building Canadian Helicopters, said the development will be condo-style, in which individual companies will own or rent one of the hangar's five bays.

St. John's needs a private jet hangar, said Dobbin, because Newfoundland and Labrador is sometimes passed by when planes need to refuel on the way to Europe or when there's nowhere to store a plane in St. John's. He said he knows of instances when someone has flown to St. John's for business meetings but had to send the aircraft to Halifax or Gander because there wasn't room for it in St. John's.

"It's not so bad when it goes to Gander, but if it's got to go all the way back to Halifax, we're losing business out of the province," Dobbin said.

He also said the infrastructure will support the province's businesspeople who use private air travel to do work outside the province and executives who will visit to do business.

While flying privately will set you back a lot more than the cost of a commercial flight, Dobbin said, for those who can afford it, it's about saving time.

"It's more about the efficiencies and the economies of time rather than the economies of dollars."

Dobbin expects construction to be complete by mid-2024.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/newfo...port-1.6740269

caribb Feb 8, 2023 11:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alexcaban (Post 9860787)
Either Ethiopian Airlines, LOT or Aer Lingus

Good guesses.. I’d add that along with those I hope somehow Emirates has worked out a way to add flights to Canada as part of their first wave of new routes to coordinate with their new Air Canada partnership. Realistically though I think it might be Ethiopian.

Calfan12 Feb 9, 2023 12:06 AM

WESTJET RESUMES EDMONTON – MONTREAL ROUTE IN 3Q23

WestJet in Northern summer 2023 season plans to resume Edmonton – Montreal seasonal route, after hiatus in 2022. The airline will operate this route twice weekly from 30JUN23, with Boeing 737-800 aircraft.

WS548 YEG0100 – 0703YUL 73H 35
WS549 YUL0750 – 1022YEG 73H 35

https://www.aeroroutes.com/eng/230207-wsyeg

caribb Feb 9, 2023 12:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calfan12 (Post 9861012)
WESTJET RESUMES EDMONTON – MONTREAL ROUTE IN 3Q23

WestJet in Northern summer 2023 season plans to resume Edmonton – Montreal seasonal route, after hiatus in 2022. The airline will operate this route twice weekly from 30JUN23, with Boeing 737-800 aircraft.

WS548 YEG0100 – 0703YUL 73H 35
WS549 YUL0750 – 1022YEG 73H 35

https://www.aeroroutes.com/eng/230207-wsyeg

Wow a whopping 2x a week.. look out Air Canada, they’re coming at y’a 🙄, brr..

thenoflyzone Feb 9, 2023 12:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by caribb (Post 9861033)
Wow a whopping 2x a week.. look out Air Canada, they’re coming at y’a 🙄, brr..

…and a 1am departure out of YEG…..that’s just awesome..

LO 044 Feb 9, 2023 1:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 9861037)
…and a 1am departure out of YEG…..that’s just awesome..

Oh that makes sense because of all the WestJet connection opportunities at YUL. :sarcasm:

casper Feb 9, 2023 4:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LO 044 (Post 9861097)
Oh that makes sense because of all the WestJet connection opportunities at YUL. :sarcasm:

I don't know if its perception of what. I was trying to book a trip to Ottawa in the spring and with Air Canada what keeps showing up is overnight flights from Ottawa to Vancouver. I don't remember this many redeye flights existing before COVID or last year. If Air Canada and WestJet running low on aircraft?

I even looked at Flair (not that anyone wants to get in the habit of doing that). They don't fly from Victoria to Ottawa until June and even then only once a week.

Ended up booking WestJet flying YYJ-YYC-YWG-YOW. Every other AC or WS option was crappy. We need more Porter. :)

Redeyes look to be far more common now. Not good. :no:

thenoflyzone Feb 9, 2023 8:33 AM

YLW released 2022 numbers.

Total: 1,718,059 +107.0%

https://ylw.kelowna.ca/business/facts-statistics

YUL also released full year 2022 figures.

Total: 15,973,242 +207.1% (That's the highest percentage increase out of all the airports that released 2022 figures so far)

https://www.admtl.com/sites/default/...ec_EN_2023.pdf

Here's the updated wiki page with all the 2022 numbers so far.....

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...in_Canada#2022

hehehe Feb 9, 2023 9:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 9861292)
YLW released 2022 numbers.

Total: 1,718,059 +107.0%

https://ylw.kelowna.ca/business/facts-statistics

YUL also released full year 2022 figures.

Total: 15,973,242 +207.1% (That's the higest percentage increase out of all the airports that released 2022 figures so far)

https://www.admtl.com/sites/default/...ec_EN_2023.pdf

Here's the updated wiki page with all the 2022 numbers so far.....

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_o...in_Canada#2022

YLW is bucking the trends of regional airports lagging in recovery. A growing airport for sure. The gap between YYJ and YLW is sort of shrinking now

Dominion301 Feb 9, 2023 2:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casper (Post 9861231)
I don't know if its perception of what. I was trying to book a trip to Ottawa in the spring and with Air Canada what keeps showing up is overnight flights from Ottawa to Vancouver. I don't remember this many redeye flights existing before COVID or last year. If Air Canada and WestJet running low on aircraft?

I even looked at Flair (not that anyone wants to get in the habit of doing that). They don't fly from Victoria to Ottawa until June and even then only once a week.

Ended up booking WestJet flying YYJ-YYC-YWG-YOW. Every other AC or WS option was crappy. We need more Porter. :)

Redeyes look to be far more common now. Not good. :no:

AC's had a summer seasonal YVR-YOW redeye for (pandemic aside) at least the past 15 years. Redeyes are great for maximizing aircraft utilization.

thenoflyzone Feb 9, 2023 7:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alexcaban (Post 9860787)
Either Ethiopian Airlines, LOT or Aer Lingus

If it happens, and it's a big IF, it will be a new destination for YUL. Forgot to mention that for some reason.

Also, I did say "major" carrier. ;) None of those are majors in my book.

Airboy Feb 9, 2023 8:13 PM

Those numbers for YLW look good, I wonder how much the charter flights up to Kitimat have helped. I saw last night where they are using a 737 now instead to the Cariboo Air BAE. The 737 was from KFC.

caribb Feb 10, 2023 2:54 AM

DD
Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 9861812)
If it happens, and it's a big IF, it will be a new destination for YUL. Forgot to mention that for some reason.

Also, I did say "major" carrier. ;) None of those are majors in my book.

Ok so we write these three off then.. I’d narrow it down to Emirates (if there’s an updated bilateral), Korean Air (SkyTeam member so still a stretch) or Singapore Airlines (If a 5th freedom route (Paris? Dublin?) can be evoked.

It’s fun to speculate!

nname Feb 10, 2023 5:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by caribb (Post 9862167)
DD

Ok so we write these three off then.. I’d argue Ethiopian is a major carrier at least barely..

So that leaves the top tier.. Emirates immediately comes to mind. Others: ANA, JAL (unlikely they’d not fly here from Tokyo), EVA Air (Taipei) albeit they’re smaller than Ethiopian, China Southern (Guangzhou), Cathay Pacific (Hong Kong), Korean Air (Seoul), Etihad (Abu Dhabi), LATAM (Santiago) and Air India (Mumbai)

BR cannot add more frequency due to bilateral restriction, so does EK (but bilateral might be updated?)

Unlikely for any Chinese airline unless the political issue is resolved. And there won't be an issue for "getting kind of tight to announce a new route for this summer", as they are known to announce new service to start on the following week.

CX have some serious staffing issue right now, and their top priority is to restore short-hual service to China and around Asia, and then restore pre-pandemic long-hual services. Unlikely they're looking to add any new long-hual route right now.

NH and JL really only care about Tokyo. Unlikely they add YUL-HND before adding YYZ (and does NRT and HND consider different destinations?)

My guess would be some carrier from the Middle East due to recent bilateral update.

nname Feb 10, 2023 5:41 AM

Flair add service to YKA

3x weekly YEG-YKA starting June 15.

I guess they don't want to compete with WS for YYC-YKA after AC pulled out?

hehehe Feb 10, 2023 6:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nname (Post 9862235)
Flair add service to YKA

3x weekly YEG-YKA starting June 15.

I guess they don't want to compete with WS for YYC-YKA after AC pulled out?

On a max 8?? Really???

thenoflyzone Feb 10, 2023 7:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by caribb (Post 9862167)

Ok so we write these three off then.. I’d argue Ethiopian is a major carrier at least barely..

You know what, I just checked, and I never knew Ethiopian had such a big fleet. Around 140 aircraft. Kowing that now, yes, I think you're right at saying that ET is at the bottom of the majors. Definately not in the same league as LO (fleet of 71) or EI (54).

Quote:

Originally Posted by caribb (Post 9862167)
It’s fun to speculate!

:tup:

caribb Feb 10, 2023 1:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 9862261)
You know what, I just checked, and I never knew Ethiopian had such a big fleet. Around 140 aircraft. Kowing that now, yes, I think you're right at saying that ET is at the bottom of the majors. Definately not in the same league as LO (fleet of 71) or EI (54).



:tup:

Ethiopian is the largest most successful carrier in Africa. They’ve been mentioning they want to serve YUL for over a year now, just waiting on bilateral approval. Fingers crossed. Any new major coming here will be a big plus for us regardless who.

caribb Feb 10, 2023 1:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nname (Post 9862232)
BR cannot add more frequency due to bilateral restriction, so does EK (but bilateral might be updated?)

Unlikely for any Chinese airline unless the political issue is resolved. And there won't be an issue for "getting kind of tight to announce a new route for this summer", as they are known to announce new service to start on the following week.

CX have some serious staffing issue right now, and their top priority is to restore short-hual service to China and around Asia, and then restore pre-pandemic long-hual services. Unlikely they're looking to add any new long-hual route right now.

NH and JL really only care about Tokyo. Unlikely they add YUL-HND before adding YYZ (and does NRT and HND consider different destinations?)

My guess would be some carrier from the Middle East due to recent bilateral update.

I agree with everything you said there. Korean Air is on my wish list. SIA would be a complicated setup.. Emirates or Etihad seem more likely. Holding out for Ethiopian as well.


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