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hehehe Nov 11, 2023 8:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hollywoodcory (Post 10078821)
WS appears to be dropping YYC-LGW for S24. Be interesting to see where that 787 ends up getting re-deployed. No other changes were filed as far as I can tell.

I'm assuming they think that they can make more money using the 787 on a couple new routes?

thenoflyzone Nov 11, 2023 4:06 PM

It's pretty clear operating both YYC-LHR and YYC-LGW wasn't optimal. It will be interesting to see what they do with that 787 next summer. I think upping NRT to daily should be a priority. That will leave 3x weekly for another route.

thenoflyzone Nov 11, 2023 4:15 PM

YUL posted Sept 2023 numbers. First percentage is Y.O.Y increase, second percentage in parenthesis is vs 2019:

Total: 1,927,076 +17.5% (+6.9%)

Domestic: 628,105 +13.0% (-4.5%)
Transborder: 394,583 +16.3% (+8.4%)
International: 904,388 +21.5% (+15.9%)

YTD total: 16,192,029 +39% (+2.9%)

In their Q3 results, ADM mentioned that:

Quote:

Passenger traffic in the first nine months of 2023 represents 103.1% of the corresponding period in 2019,
with 111.8% for international, 103.4% for transborder and 92.1% for domestic.
(One document says Y.T.D is 2.9% above 2019, the other says 3.1%, but whatever....)

================================================

YYC also posted Sept 2023. Only Y.O.Y increase is provided.

Total: 1,726,143 +23.7%

Domestic: 1,195,308 +15.4%
Transborder: 342,910 +43.2%
International: 187,925 +56.2%

YTD total: 14,105,411 +33.2%

zahav Nov 11, 2023 11:33 PM

I didn't realize the transborder preclearance hours at YVR had been increased, not sure how I missed that (I'm usually pretty on top of airport news lol). This makes so much sense, a very positive move! I was actually thinking to myself the other day that there's a lot of US flights leaving from the international gates at night now. It used to be a handful, but seems to keep growing. That red eye departure with a morning arrival on the eastern seaboard must really be popular, so many airlines have these especially Air Canada lately. I remember taking a US-bound flight and being in international departures felt so weird! Having worked at the airport for years, I am just so used to transborder being separate, so seeing a flight to Dallas next to a flight to Taipei was always odd. Moving it to 23:30 (or midnight, as stated on the US government site) allows all US departures to be pre-cleared, which I don't think has ever been the case. Not sure if the other 8 airports with preclearance have a lot of late night flights? The BC coast is really the only place where the distance is long enough and time zone wise to make red eyes work. From the central and east, the distances and time differences are too close, there's nowhere in North America that would make sense with a late night departure from YYZ eastward. Late night departures to Europe/Africa work well from these areas, but not transborder. The hours of each airport's preclearance are super unique to each station, timed I assume to take in if not all, then most US bound flights. Are there any US flights from either YUL or YYZ that don't get precleared? YVR might've been an anomaly with it's chunk of US flights that weren't precleared, I think most other airports preclear almost everything. Imagine that list of red eyes that nname posted all missing out on preclearance? Would be a big gap

I did a Westjet summer 2024 service update for the "secondary" airports (still procrastinating doing YYC because it's such a huge undertaking compared to the others). I used the same standard week in July (15-21) for each airport, it's a normal week right in the summer travel season). Routes and airlines sometimes have variation in frequency from week to week on the same route, but it's rare (meaning there's usually the same frequency on a route for the entire season, rather than changing frequency and days week to week). Here are the stats for all airports listed on Wikipedia as Focus Cities for WS (hardly a scientific source I know, but WS doesn't mention anywhere as focus cities, it only mentions YYC as a hub, AFAIK...):

Week of July 15-21
YVR - 476 flights, approx. 61,000 seats, and 32 destinations
YEG - 360 flights, approx. 43,000 seats, and 29 destinations
YYZ - 311 flights, approx. 50,000 seats, and 29 destinations
YWG - 166 flights, approx. 23,685 seats, 14 destinations

I know no one will be anywhere near WS in YYC (hence it's status as a fortress hub), but YVR has quite definitively overtaken YYZ, which would have been absurd to imagine anytime pre pandemic. YVR is higher in total # of flights, # of seats, and # of destinations (not to mention it is the only airport other than YYC to have service from mainline, Encore, and Link, as well as 787 service). So it qualifies more as a hub than YYZ and YEG by any metric. YEG and YYZ essentially both have arguments for 3rd place, one based on total flights, and one on total seats. But they are kind of in the same place as each other now in terms of importance. YYZ has a somewhat inflated destination list, since there have tons of once a week sun destinations, which boosts the # of destinations but isn't adding a ton of seats. Their domestic drop has just been so extreme, the frequencies are a fraction of what they used to be, not to mention they don't have Encore or Link. Meaning their domestic feed from places like YOW, YUL, and YHZ is a single jet flight a day, so meagre, it's almost not worth it. They used to have high frequencies to lots of Eastern locations, really feeding their network. If they didn't have all the sun packages to unique Caribbean islands, they'd be even worse.

I am not even sure why YWG is on the list, informal as it may be by Wikipedia editors. In terms of stats, they are way below both YEG and YYZ in # of flights, seats, and destinations. YWG is only 46% of YEG's destinations, and 47% of YYZ's seats. And less than half the amount of destinations as any of the others. This is absolutely not a random opinion or stirring the pot, this is a straight-up number analysis, not emotional. Overall it seems the definition of "focus city" is so vague, there really is no rules about who qualifies or what the methodology is. If anyone is aware of anything more than just opinions that qualifies a city as a focus city, let me know. I just did this exercise for fun to really measure empirically the reality at each airport

hehehe Nov 12, 2023 12:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by zahav (Post 10079121)
I didn't realize the transborder preclearance hours at YVR had been increased, not sure how I missed that (I'm usually pretty on top of airport news lol). This makes so much sense, a very positive move! I was actually thinking to myself the other day that there's a lot of US flights leaving from the international gates at night now. It used to be a handful, but seems to keep growing. That red eye departure with a morning arrival on the eastern seaboard must really be popular, so many airlines have these especially Air Canada lately. I remember taking a US-bound flight and being in international departures felt so weird! Having worked at the airport for years, I am just so used to transborder being separate, so seeing a flight to Dallas next to a flight to Taipei was always odd. Moving it to 23:30 (or midnight, as stated on the US government site) allows all US departures to be pre-cleared, which I don't think has ever been the case. Not sure if the other 8 airports with preclearance have a lot of late night flights? The BC coast is really the only place where the distance is long enough and time zone wise to make red eyes work. From the central and east, the distances and time differences are too close, there's nowhere in North America that would make sense with a late night departure from YYZ eastward. Late night departures to Europe/Africa work well from these areas, but not transborder. The hours of each airport's preclearance are super unique to each station, timed I assume to take in if not all, then most US bound flights. Are there any US flights from either YUL or YYZ that don't get precleared? YVR might've been an anomaly with it's chunk of US flights that weren't precleared, I think most other airports preclear almost everything. Imagine that list of red eyes that nname posted all missing out on preclearance? Would be a big gap

I did a Westjet summer 2024 service update for the "secondary" airports (still procrastinating doing YYC because it's such a huge undertaking compared to the others). I used the same standard week in July (15-21) for each airport, it's a normal week right in the summer travel season). Routes and airlines sometimes have variation in frequency from week to week on the same route, but it's rare (meaning there's usually the same frequency on a route for the entire season, rather than changing frequency and days week to week). Here are the stats for all airports listed on Wikipedia as Focus Cities for WS (hardly a scientific source I know, but WS doesn't mention anywhere as focus cities, it only mentions YYC as a hub, AFAIK...):

Week of July 15-21
YVR - 476 flights, approx. 61,000 seats, and 32 destinations
YEG - 360 flights, approx. 43,000 seats, and 29 destinations
YYZ - 311 flights, approx. 50,000 seats, and 29 destinations
YWG - 166 flights, approx. 23,685 seats, 14 destinations

I know no one will be anywhere near WS in YYC (hence it's status as a fortress hub), but YVR has quite definitively overtaken YYZ, which would have been absurd to imagine anytime pre pandemic. YVR is higher in total # of flights, # of seats, and # of destinations (not to mention it is the only airport other than YYC to have service from mainline, Encore, and Link, as well as 787 service). So it qualifies more as a hub than YYZ and YEG by any metric. YEG and YYZ essentially both have arguments for 3rd place, one based on total flights, and one on total seats. But they are kind of in the same place as each other now in terms of importance. YYZ has a somewhat inflated destination list, since there have tons of once a week sun destinations, which boosts the # of destinations but isn't adding a ton of seats. Their domestic drop has just been so extreme, the frequencies are a fraction of what they used to be, not to mention they don't have Encore or Link. Meaning their domestic feed from places like YOW, YUL, and YHZ is a single jet flight a day, so meagre, it's almost not worth it. They used to have high frequencies to lots of Eastern locations, really feeding their network. If they didn't have all the sun packages to unique Caribbean islands, they'd be even worse.

I am not even sure why YWG is on the list, informal as it may be by Wikipedia editors. In terms of stats, they are way below both YEG and YYZ in # of flights, seats, and destinations. YWG is only 46% of YEG's destinations, and 47% of YYZ's seats. And less than half the amount of destinations as any of the others. This is absolutely not a random opinion or stirring the pot, this is a straight-up number analysis, not emotional. Overall it seems the definition of "focus city" is so vague, there really is no rules about who qualifies or what the methodology is. If anyone is aware of anything more than just opinions that qualifies a city as a focus city, let me know. I just did this exercise for fun to really measure empirically the reality at each airport

It's sort of a vague category you're right. I'd argue YWG is a focus city because of its YQT/YXE/YQR encore flights and having various US destinations (and recently ATL/LAX added).

Justanothermember Nov 12, 2023 12:44 AM

YWG plays a fairly large role in WS expansion in the west. And now that YWG is a crew base for WS, there will likely be more routes developed out of YWG over the next year. I'm really looking forward to the growth and expansion of routes.

Porter may also adds few more routes out of YWG as well, with YOW and YUL coming to mind as the most likely candidates.

zahav Nov 12, 2023 1:06 AM

Thanks for the context on YWG, I am not well versed in the discussions or insights into routes there. Just looking at the current schedule right now for S24, that's the only thing it's based on. Would be good if WS boosted up YWG, the transborder adds are a good addition in this direction. I am surprised to see how big Westjet went on ATL, adding so many city pairs from Western Canada. ATL is of course a behemoth and with the Delta partnership it will only make it better to operate these flights. But I'm not sure how much more they will add from YWG while still keeping things centralized in YYC, which was/is their stated plan. But things could change again, it's really hard to predict right now where the flight growth will happen.

Of course on a nostalgic note, YWG is one of the five original airports served by Westjet when they launch in Feb 1996 (the others being YVR, YLW, YEG, and YYC). YWG should have some grandfather clause that let's them keep the focus city title indefinitely and regardless of flights :p

casper Nov 12, 2023 1:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by zahav (Post 10079157)
Of course on a nostalgic note, YWG is one of the five original airports served by Westjet when they launch in Feb 1996 (the others being YVR, YLW, YEG, and YYC). YWG should have some grandfather clause that let's them keep the focus city title indefinitely and regardless of flights :p

I moved out of Saskatoon about 10 years ago, so the dynamics may have changed. But when I lived there was no way I was going to add a connection in Calgary to get to Toronto or Montreal unless I absolutely had to. It just adds an extra 3-4 hours onto a trip that should only take that long. WestJet from its early days of flying 737-200s has been connecting passengers from Saskatchewan through Winnipeg.

Dominion301 Nov 12, 2023 1:52 AM

While there is no clear definition as to what constitutes a focus city, to me it’s any destination that has some non-hub routes (e.g., YWG-YOW) and has some connecting traffic thru the airport on said airline. YWG fits that bill in WS’ world.

At AC, YHZ, YOW, YEG and YYC are focus cities with all of them shrinking (YOW and YYC the most) since 2019. The latter was once a hub and YWG used to be an AC focus city but now all they have are YYZ, YYC, YVR, YUL and seasonal YOW.

As for PD at YWG, I’ll be shocked if YOW is not announced within the next three months.

Justanothermember Nov 12, 2023 2:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casper (Post 10079172)
I moved out of Saskatoon about 10 years ago, so the dynamics may have changed. But when I lived there was no way I was going to add a connection in Calgary to get to Toronto or Montreal unless I absolutely had to. It just adds an extra 3-4 hours onto a trip that should only take that long. WestJet from its early days of flying 737-200s has been connecting passengers from Saskatchewan through Winnipeg.

Spot on about Calgary. There is no way that if I'm flying east, I'm going to add extra time connecting through Calgary. I'll take Montreal, Minneapolis, Atlanta or gasp, Toronto (if I'm feeling like taking a big risk dealing with Pearson lol)

thenoflyzone Nov 12, 2023 3:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by zahav (Post 10079121)
That red eye departure with a morning arrival on the eastern seaboard must really be popular, so many airlines have these

They're popular with the airlines, because you arrive at an east coast hub early in the morning, with plenty of connection opportunities. Most passengers probably hate it, but have no choice, as the connection times and opportunities make these flights very attractive. But I can't see them being popular with passengers. I guess it depends if you can fall asleep on an aircraft easily. A lot of people can't, and for them, these flights are definitely not ideal. Personally, I rather get a good night's sleep at home and fly out at 8 or 9am, rather than a redeye. Wouldn't you?

Quote:

Originally Posted by zahav (Post 10079121)
Are there any US flights from either YUL or YYZ that don't get precleared?

Don't know for certain about YYZ, but there aren't any at YUL. I'm pretty sure there aren't any at YYZ either.

Quote:

Originally Posted by zahav (Post 10079121)
Week of July 15-21
YVR - 476 flights, approx. 61,000 seats, and 32 destinations
YEG - 360 flights, approx. 43,000 seats, and 29 destinations
YYZ - 311 flights, approx. 50,000 seats, and 29 destinations
YWG - 166 flights, approx. 23,685 seats, 14 destinations

I know no one will be anywhere near WS in YYC (hence it's status as a fortress hub), but YVR has quite definitively overtaken YYZ, which would have been absurd to imagine anytime pre pandemic. YVR is higher in total # of flights, # of seats, and # of destinations (not to mention it is the only airport other than YYC to have service from mainline, Encore, and Link, as well as 787 service). So it qualifies more as a hub than YYZ and YEG by any metric.

Honestly, the drop from YYC to the four you listed is so vast, that none of them qualify as a WS hub. They are all WS focus cities, as far as I'm concerned. The fact WS uses the hub verbiage only about YYC kind of corroborates that as well. Also, WS announced some new routes out of YVR and YEG this past week, and it didn't mention them as being hub airports in the press releases.

Earlier this year, AC was at 500-600 flights a week from YYC, and it still wasn't a hub. In fact it hasn't been an AC hub for quite a while. AC now has around 400 weekly flights from YYC, which is around the number of flights WS will have from YVR next summer. So why should YVR be called a WS hub when we know AC at YYC isn't?

zahav Nov 12, 2023 2:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10079216)
They're popular with the airlines, because you arrive at an east coast hub early in the morning, with plenty of connection opportunities. Most passengers probably hate it, but have no choice, as the connection times and opportunities make these flights very attractive. But I can't see them being popular with passengers. I guess it depends if you can fall asleep on an aircraft easily. A lot of people can't, and for them, these flights are definitely not ideal. Personally, I rather get a good night's sleep at home and fly out at 8 or 9am, rather than a redeye. Wouldn't you?



Don't know for certain about YYZ, but there aren't any at YUL. I'm pretty sure there aren't any at YYZ either.



Honestly, the drop from YYC to the four you listed is so vast, that none of them qualify as a WS hub. They are all WS focus cities, as far as I'm concerned. The fact WS uses the hub verbiage only about YYC kind of corroborates that as well. Also, WS announced some new routes out of YVR and YEG this past week, and it didn't mention them as being hub airports in the press releases.

Earlier this year, AC was at 500-600 flights a week from YYC, and it still wasn't a hub. In fact it hasn't been an AC hub for quite a while. AC now has around 400 weekly flights from YYC, which is around the number of flights WS will have from YVR next summer. So why should YVR be called a WS hub when we know AC at YYC isn't?

I am not a big fan of red eyes, but I know a lot of people who are, they love having a full day and then leaving at night, and starting a new day in their destination. Yes there's probably some tiredness, but we're not talking 15 hour flights, most people can manage and don't mind it. I took the ready eye from YVR-JFK and was fine for the trip, didn't impact anything. I just love that preclearance is finally extended to cover all the transborder flights, even those late at night, it's a big plus.

I agree that YYC is in a league of it's own, undoubtedly the only true hub now. Not claiming YVR is anywhere near it, or even a hub. I was just providing the data for the four cities considered focus cities, and showing the differences between them. I just meant of the four, YVR is the most "hub like" in that it has a lot of domestic feed, and lots of transborder. Not to mention a lot of the Asian flights on foreign carriers have agreements with WS (Qantas, Xiamen, Korean Air, JAL, and China Airlines codeshare with WS on domestic routes, feeding into YVR for international connections). So this also strengthens WS's YVR ops, creating an international feed even though they don't have international ops here. But none of that is me claiming YVR is a true hub, just providing context for the "focus city" blanket designation across YVR, YEG, YWG, and YYZ.

thenoflyzone Nov 12, 2023 3:38 PM

New AC numbers. (Reminder, these are weekly departure numbers.)

YYZ 1662
YUL 871
YVR 913 (An increase from 2 weeks ago. First time I've seen it higher than YUL since I started posting these since last August.)
YYC 200 (first time this number is below YOW's departure count)
YOW 204
YHZ 165
YEG 141
YWG 83

Will be interesting to see how these numbers evolve over the coming W23 season. November, along with February, are the two slowest months in terms of passenger numbers (and therefore movements) for pretty much all airports in Canada.

For comparison's sake, here are the numbers from when I initially started posting these, back at the tail end of peak summer, on August 22nd. YYC departure numbers have been cut by almost 30% since then.

Quote:

AC weekly departure numbers:

YYZ 1947
YUL 1070
YVR 983
YYC 281
YOW 214
YEG 162

thenoflyzone Nov 12, 2023 4:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10078932)
YUL posted Sept 2023 numbers. First percentage is Y.O.Y increase, second percentage in parenthesis is vs 2019:

Total: 1,927,076 +17.5% (+6.9%)

Domestic: 628,105 +13.0% (-4.5%)
Transborder: 394,583 +16.3% (+8.4%)
International: 904,388 +21.5% (+15.9%)

YTD total: 16,192,029 +39% (+2.9%)

In their Q3 results, ADM mentioned that:



(One document says Y.T.D is 2.9% above 2019, the other says 3.1%, but whatever....)

================================================

YYC also posted Sept 2023. Only Y.O.Y increase is provided.

Total: 1,726,143 +23.7%

Domestic: 1,195,308 +15.4%
Transborder: 342,910 +43.2%
International: 187,925 +56.2%

YTD total: 14,105,411 +33.2%

YVR posted their September total as well, but the breakdown links aren't updated yet.

2,187,658 (+15.6%) for the month.

https://www.yvr.ca/en/about-yvr/facts-and-stats

These 3 airports' monthly numbers are getting tighter and tighter, what with YUL and YYC reaching (or surpassing) their 2019 numbers, while that's still not the case for YVR.

nname Nov 12, 2023 6:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10079355)
New AC numbers. (Reminder, these are weekly departure numbers.)

YYZ 1662
YUL 871
YVR 913 (An increase from 2 weeks ago. First time I've seen it higher than YUL since I started posting these since last August.)
YYC 200 (first time this number is below YOW's departure count)
YOW 204
YHZ 165
YEG 141
YWG 83

Yes, this is the same as my data. YVR usually have more flights than YUL during the winter season, and YUL usually have more flights during summer (except for last year due to the airport not able to handle the traffic post-pandemic). The number should stay like this at least until end of March, before TATL ramp up again.

Zmonkey Nov 12, 2023 11:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10079371)
YVR posted their September total as well, but the breakdown links aren't updated yet.

2,187,658 (+15.6%) for the month.

https://www.yvr.ca/en/about-yvr/facts-and-stats

These 3 airports' monthly numbers are getting tighter and tighter, what with YUL and YYC reaching (or surpassing) their 2019 numbers, while that's still not the case for YVR.

Obvious to answer to that is China, isn't it?
They had so many flights and connecting passengers into China pre Covid, until that comes back (if ever) they are missing a big part of there operations to get them back to pre covid numbers.

kwoldtimer Nov 13, 2023 2:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zmonkey (Post 10079559)
Obvious to answer to that is China, isn't it?
They had so many flights and connecting passengers into China pre Covid, until that comes back (if ever) they are missing a big part of there operations to get them back to pre covid numbers.

The risk of arbitrary arrest and detention would put me off travelling to China.

thewave46 Nov 13, 2023 2:36 AM

Has anyone tried Porter's new longer-haul flights? I am thinking about booking some in the future, however, I just don't like the idea of being stranded somewhere. Vacations are a way to get away from stress, not increase it more. That means the ULCC carriers are no bueno.

Pros/Cons?

I mean, Air Canada has multiple options, but you pay for that luxury.

JakeLRS Nov 13, 2023 3:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thewave46 (Post 10079641)
Has anyone tried Porter's new longer-haul flights? I am thinking about booking some in the future, however, I just don't like the idea of being stranded somewhere. Vacations are a way to get away from stress, not increase it more. That means the ULCC carriers are no bueno.

Pros/Cons?

I mean, Air Canada has multiple options, but you pay for that luxury.

No complaints with Porter. They are now my go-too airline. The inflight service and decently roomy seats is what’s keeping me coming back. No delays with them either yet (unless my YYZ-YEG flight gets delayed tomorrow lol). If you’re looking for reliable, I’d take the bet with Porter.

kattiff Nov 13, 2023 4:11 AM

I thought the term hub and focus was just where an airline puts their crews, their maintenance, their most head starts of the day, the most connection points, certain long hauls or long distances. Just whatever they deem it’s important to their operation

thenoflyzone Nov 13, 2023 7:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zmonkey (Post 10079559)
Obvious to answer to that is China, isn't it?
They had so many flights and connecting passengers into China pre Covid, until that comes back (if ever) they are missing a big part of there operations to get them back to pre covid numbers.

The thing I love about YVR is the breakdown of their passenger stats by region served. Wish other airports did the same. What it allows us to see is that it's not just Asia Pac that is still below 2019 numbers, but Europe and Transborder as well.

Take August 2023. Which is the last month with the breakdown numbers available, and also the busiest month at YVR since August 2019. (2.5 million pax in August 2023 vs. 2.68 million pax in August 2019) So almost there. Problem is, only domestic numbers and Mexico numbers were above August 2019 numbers.

Transborder was still down by ~25,000 in the month vs August 2019
Asia Pac was down ~140,000
Europe was down ~63,000

So yes. China is a big part of it, but Europe+US was down almost 100k as well in the month. That's not an insignificant number.

https://www.yvr.ca/-/media/yvr/docum...passengers.pdf

Quote:

Originally Posted by kattiff (Post 10079669)
I thought the term hub and focus was just where an airline puts their crews, their maintenance, their most head starts of the day, the most connection points, certain long hauls or long distances. Just whatever they deem it’s important to their operation

Not really. At least not for that first part.

AC has a pilot base in YWG, and it's not a hub. Until a couple of years ago, AC had a hub in YYC, and yet had no pilot base there.

Unfortunately. the definition of airline hub is pretty vague. Same, or even worse, for focus city.

nname Nov 13, 2023 9:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10079704)
So yes. China is a big part of it, but Europe+US was down almost 100k as well in the month. That's not an insignificant number.

https://www.yvr.ca/-/media/yvr/docum...passengers.pdf

The down in Europe can probably explained by:
- WS pulling YVR and BC-Europe traffic trough YYC
- AC funnel more European passengers through YYZ/YUL instead of YVR
- TS pull out of YVR-Europe business altogether, and funnel everyone through YYZ/YUL

These 3 probably contributed to the increase in domestic traffic at YVR, plus cheap flight offerings with the ULCCs.

The down in US should also be caused by the first 2 items above, plus the down in traffic to China.

The US traffic will probably back above pre-pandemic number soon, and so does the APAC traffic once flights to China are restored to some degree. But Europe will likely be down until AC/WS/TS strategy changes.

zahav Nov 13, 2023 1:48 PM

YVR will continue to lag in international recovery for a while I think, they are growing in select markets sure, but losing that China volume is a big deal. I agree with others, it will be a while before this fully rebounds. And YVR will never be flush with European destinations, it's just reality. We will continue to have the biggies like LHR, AMS, CDG, and FRA, but much more than that is unlikely for many reasons. So traffic will grow from pandemic lows but is limited to how much more than that it can get, the offerings are just very basic and stagnant.

It looks like Eurowings is doing some updates, I checked the YYC flights and their flight offerings are duplicating, a telltale sign they are doing some updates. But so far it appears they are going double daily 5x weekly? Again, not sure if there are some duplications or old flights still in their system until it's formalized, but appears they are adding flights? I wonder if WS will ever take on FRA, it is a massive market for YYC, but of course has competition, which many of their other Euro destinations do not. But it would be head and shoulders above some of their other Euro destinations in terms of traffic demand, but they have more competition. If the WS withdrawl from LGW and the AC withdrawal from FRA has shown anything, it's that even major markets have their limits, and cannot absorb infinite capacity. With all of WS's added capacity, Europe is more than well served, and the cut backs on some routes by major airlines show the market is well served and cannot absorb much more capacity. YVR is the same, there won't be much growth in this market in the foreseeable future. And it's even more challenged because WS is working hard to funnel YVR pax thru YYC for all those new routes like Edinburgh, Barcelona, Rome, etc... Not a lot of impetus for growth in non-stop YVR-Europe at the moment. WS is absolutely working to dominate the YVR-YYC market by promoting the YYC destinations to Europe etc. But the fact that LGW got sacked just shows the overall market is well served and there isn't a lot of untapped demand

thenoflyzone Nov 13, 2023 8:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by zahav (Post 10079763)
I wonder if WS will ever take on FRA, it is a massive market for YYC, but of course has competition, which many of their other Euro destinations do not. But it would be head and shoulders above some of their other Euro destinations in terms of traffic demand, but they have more competition. If the WS withdrawl from LGW and the AC withdrawal from FRA has shown anything, it's that even major markets have their limits, and cannot absorb infinite capacity. With all of WS's added capacity, Europe is more than well served, and the cut backs on some routes by major airlines show the market is well served and cannot absorb much more capacity. YVR is the same, there won't be much growth in this market in the foreseeable future. And it's even more challenged because WS is working hard to funnel YVR pax thru YYC for all those new routes like Edinburgh, Barcelona, Rome, etc... Not a lot of impetus for growth in non-stop YVR-Europe at the moment. WS is absolutely working to dominate the YVR-YYC market by promoting the YYC destinations to Europe etc. But the fact that LGW got sacked just shows the overall market is well served and there isn't a lot of untapped demand

When WS removed LGW, adding Frankfurt did cross my mind. This being said, I think the yield potential with additional flights to NRT is far greater. Fares from North America to Japan (and East Asia as a whole) are considerably higher than they were pre-pandemic, and WS should probably expand Asian service as much as they can, in order to tap into that red hot market at the moment.

We'll see what they do. With the freed up 787, they can easily make NRT daily, plus add another route like FRA or ATH, or up frequency to BCN, etc.

casper Nov 13, 2023 8:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10080029)
When WS removed LGW, adding Frankfurt did cross my mind. This being said, I think the yield potential with additional flights to NRT is far greater. Fares from North America to Japan (and East Asia as a whole) are considerably higher than they were pre-pandemic, and WS should probably expand Asian service as much as they can, in order to tap into that red hot market at the moment.

We'll see what they do. With the freed up 787, they can easily make NRT daily, plus add another route like FRA or ATH, or up frequency to BCN, etc.

Sounds like there are two additional 787 with their name paint on the side that they walked away from when Boeing was in trouble on the 787. Perhaps it is time to go kick the tires on those two birds and see if Boeing is willing to give them a deep discount to clear out that dead inventory.

hollywoodcory Nov 13, 2023 11:43 PM

Eurowings Discover has had YYC-FRA loaded as 12x weekly since September, there's been no schedule changes made. Its basically the 5x weekly they previously served plus the daily service they took over from AC.

WS had strong loads on both LGW/LHR this past summer, so its kind of surprising LGW got out right dropped instead of say reduced.

As for WS, they requested slots for LIS in S24:
https://slotsapi.nav.pt/uploads/slot...lineLISS24.pdf
Presently the slots were denied.

ATH/LIS would be good additions from YYC as neither have much service from Western North America similar to FCO/BCN/EDI.

I've heard rumblings about at least one new route coming, but I'll keep it at that until the information becomes public.

hehehe Nov 13, 2023 11:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10080029)
When WS removed LGW, adding Frankfurt did cross my mind. This being said, I think the yield potential with additional flights to NRT is far greater. Fares from North America to Japan (and East Asia as a whole) are considerably higher than they were pre-pandemic, and WS should probably expand Asian service as much as they can, in order to tap into that red hot market at the moment.

We'll see what they do. With the freed up 787, they can easily make NRT daily, plus add another route like FRA or ATH, or up frequency to BCN, etc.

My prediction is they'll up 2 of NRT and BCN/FCO and add ATH (I'd also say LIS but apparently they got denied the slots)

SimpleEng Nov 14, 2023 4:06 AM

I'm pretty impressed with YWG's 2023 Q3 pax stats (link).

YWG has 99% of 2019 pax traffic, and even surpassed 2019 levels in August:
  • 2023-July - 408,586 vs 2019-July - 423,135
  • 2023-Aug - 433,746 vs 2019-Aug - 433,188
  • 2023-Sept - 363,370 vs 2019-Sept - 364,774
  • 2023-Q3 - 1,205,702 vs 2019-Q3 - 1,221,097

YWG 2023 Q1-Q3 pax traffic is 3.14 million. YOW is not far behind with 3.06 million.

Will YWG be Canada's 6th busiest airport in 2023?

thenoflyzone Nov 14, 2023 8:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nname (Post 10079715)
The down in Europe can probably explained by:

Whatever the reason, YVR's European network is definitely not trending in the right direction. AC removing ZRH next summer won't help.

Quote:

Originally Posted by hollywoodcory (Post 10080190)
Eurowings Discover has had YYC-FRA loaded as 12x weekly since September, there's been no schedule changes made. Its basically the 5x weekly they previously served plus the daily service they took over from AC.

WS had strong loads on both LGW/LHR this past summer, so its kind of surprising LGW got out right dropped instead of say reduced.

As for WS, they requested slots for LIS in S24:
https://slotsapi.nav.pt/uploads/slot...lineLISS24.pdf
Presently the slots were denied.

ATH/LIS would be good additions from YYC as neither have much service from Western North America similar to FCO/BCN/EDI.

I've heard rumblings about at least one new route coming, but I'll keep it at that until the information becomes public.

Doesn't surprise me about LIS. It's a single runway airport, which is at capacity. Will be very hard for new entrants to get slots.
Indeed ATH would make sense. No service there from anywhere west of Chicago.

Quote:

Originally Posted by hehehe (Post 10080200)
My prediction is they'll up 2 of NRT and BCN/FCO and add ATH (I'd also say LIS but apparently they got denied the slots)

I think that's asking for too much.

thenoflyzone Nov 14, 2023 8:04 AM

GTAA reported Q3 2023.

https://www.torontopearson.com/en/co...ses/2023-11-09

12.5 million passengers in Q3, up 12% from last year. Still only a 88% recovery compared to the same period in 2019.

33.8 million passengers carried during the first nine months of the year. Still only a 87.6% recovery compared to the same period in 2019.

YYCguys Nov 14, 2023 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by casper (Post 10080042)
Sounds like there are two additional 787 with their name paint on the side that they walked away from when Boeing was in trouble on the 787. Perhaps it is time to go kick the tires on those two birds and see if Boeing is willing to give them a deep discount to clear out that dead inventory.

That would be great! But I hear that AVH doesn’t like the 787 and “got stuck with” the 7 in current inventory so I have to wonder if he is at all interested in adding those 2 to the fleet (the third apparently went to AC just in time for them to start up YUL-AMS).

SignalHillHiker Nov 14, 2023 6:22 PM

Westjet is joining our Premier and other officials for a “significant air access” announcement tomorrow in St. John’s. Presumably it’d be a direct connection to Europe being restored? I can’t imagine the Premier being involved for anything less, and he’s been all but saying “send us the bill, just fucking do it” for a year now.

Attending will be:

Premier
Ministers responsible for tourism, industry
VP External Affairs for Westjet
Mayor of St. John’s
Heads of Hospitality NL, YYT Airport Authority, St. John’s Board of Trade

thenoflyzone Nov 14, 2023 6:33 PM

^ so I guess now we know what they plan to do with their unused LGW frequency.

ninjakafi_81 Nov 14, 2023 6:51 PM

Air Canada Boosts Capacity to Asia Starting December as Airline Continues International Network Diversification

Quote:

* Vancouver-Hong Kong operates up to 11 weekly flights beginning mid-Dec.
* Capacity nearly doubles between Canada and Japan this winter
* Vancouver-Bangkok flights operates daily during peak winter months, season extended to early May 2024
* New route to Singapore launches Apr. 2024
* Early seasonal resumption of Osaka service starting May 2024

MONTREAL, Nov. 14, 2023 /CNW/ - Air Canada today announced it is strategically boosting its Asia-Pacific network capacity beginning mid-December through to the end of next summer 2024.

"Air Canada's Asia services continue to reflect strong demand and we are boosting capacity to this geographic area as we deploy our international diversification strategy. This winter we are pleased to offer up to 57 flights per week between Canada and Asia, and up to 64 flights per week next summer. Air Canada will have up to double daily flights to Hong Kong and larger aircraft operating to Shanghai during the December holiday and Lunar New Year travel periods. Capacity to Japan increases by 96% this winter compared to last year. Next spring, seasonal Osaka flights resume earlier and larger aircraft will operate to Narita and Seoul," said Mark Galardo, Executive Vice President, Revenue and Network Planning, at Air Canada.

"Our upcoming launch of our new route to Singapore and increased capacity on our successful Bangkok route underscores our continued commitment to investing in fast-growing markets in Southeast Asia. With the investments we have made at our global hub airports linking Air Canada's extensive North American network to our international flights, travelling between North America and Asia is convenient and compelling for leisure and business travellers alike. We look forward to welcoming customers onboard our flights," concluded Mr. Galardo.
https://media.aircanada.com/2023-11-...iversification

Dominion301 Nov 14, 2023 7:06 PM

Yikes! :runaway:

https://www.reddit.com/r/aviation/co...are&utm_term=1

Ground-level windshear?

hollywoodcory Nov 14, 2023 7:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10080727)
^ so I guess now we know what they plan to do with their unused LGW frequency.

Could also possibly be more than just LGW. ;)

Dominion301 Nov 14, 2023 7:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hollywoodcory (Post 10080760)
Could also possibly be more than just LGW. ;)

What other city in Canada's without service to London at present that until March 2020 had it? Hmm, I wonder. Not that I'm expecting that city to land a WS MAX to LGW.

I'm pretty sure WS currently hold 4 LGW daily slots, of which 3 were leased out last summer.

The 73G is the perfectly sized aircraft for YYT-LGW. It's also shorter than YYC-YYT.

Dominion301 Nov 14, 2023 7:21 PM

Here's a throwback to 1987 and CP's first ever timetable as Canadi>n.

https://3.bp.blogspot.com/_NAVmt72iY...h/scan0096.jpg

I never knew YQG-YQT was ever flown nonstop. Unthinkable nowadays....even by Flair, lol.

hollywoodcory Nov 14, 2023 7:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dominion301 (Post 10080767)
What other city in Canada's without service to London at present that until March 2020 had it? Hmm, I wonder. Not that I'm expecting that city to land a WS MAX to LGW.

I'm pretty sure WS currently hold 4 LGW daily slots, of which 3 were leased out last summer.

The 73G is the perfectly sized aircraft for YYT-LGW. It's also shorter than YYC-YYT.

My hint was less about others getting LGW and that there might be more than just LGW announced from the east tomorrow.

The only thing I'm still unsure about it what's happening to the newly freed up 787 frame.

thenoflyzone Nov 14, 2023 7:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dominion301 (Post 10080759)
Yikes! :runaway:

https://www.reddit.com/r/aviation/co...are&utm_term=1

Ground-level windshear?

Yikes ! There is a windsock visible as the plane lands. Looks like a decent crosswind. The plane seemed stable enough a couple of seconds before touchdown. Then it all went to shit.

Quote:

Originally Posted by hollywoodcory (Post 10080760)
Could also possibly be more than just LGW. ;)

I mean, YYT-DUB makes sense as well, while they're at it. :tup:

I have to say though, WS flip flopping with their strategy like this is kind of exhausting. I mean, they were serving YHZ-LGW/CDG/GLA and DUB in 2022. Then cut it all. Now re-starting it all from YYT. One has to wonder if management have a clear plan moving forward, or they're just wingin' it as they go.

Dominion301 Nov 14, 2023 8:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10080809)
Yikes ! There is a windsock visible as the plane lands. Looks like a decent crosswind. The plane seemed stable enough a couple of seconds before touchdown. Then it all went to shit.



I mean, YYT-DUB makes sense as well, while they're at it. :tup:

I have to say though, WS flip flopping with their strategy like this is kind of exhausting. I mean, they were serving YHZ-LGW/CDG/GLA and DUB in 2022. Then cut it all. Now re-starting it all from YYT. One has to wonder if management have a clear plan moving forward, or they're just wingin' it as they go.

That 77W, yikes. Could have even been a lot worse. At around the 8-9 second mark there's some debris flying. Wonder if that was a piece off a tire?

As for YYT, if they add LGW and DUB, I wonder if they'd add daily feeder flights from the likes of YOW, YUL and/or YHZ, along with YYC & YEG? Guess we'll find out soon enough.

hollywoodcory Nov 14, 2023 8:18 PM

Looks like they mistakenly uploaded the information on to this page:
https://www.westjet.com/en-ca/flights/direct-flights

It appears the freed up 787 is going to increases on NRT / FCO / BCN and EDI.

thenoflyzone Nov 14, 2023 8:21 PM

^ YYC-KEF also on there, May 15- Sept 8 2024.

NRT daily was the right move. So 4 weekly frequencies are going there. So I guess the increase on the other 3 is 1x weekly each? Is that right?

hollywoodcory Nov 14, 2023 8:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10080830)
^ YYC-KEF also on there, May 15- Sept 8 2024.

Also:

YYZ-DUB
YYZ-EDI
YYT-LGW
YHZ-LGW
YHZ-EDI
YHZ-DUB

Both YYC-NRT and FCO are both going daily.

SignalHillHiker Nov 14, 2023 8:26 PM

Excellent news for us, at least. Now, just keeping my fingers crossed it's under $1K return :haha:

https://i.postimg.cc/QC9fmtkL/371491...35349787-n.png

q12 Nov 14, 2023 8:27 PM

Westjet Summer 2024

https://www.westjet.com/en-ca/flights/direct-flights

https://i.postimg.cc/xqrzKS5B/WESTJET.png

https://i.postimg.cc/rFLG0SHs/westjet2.png

Ozabald Nov 14, 2023 8:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dominion301 (Post 10080767)
What other city in Canada's without service to London at present that until March 2020 had it? Hmm, I wonder. Not that I'm expecting that city to land a WS MAX to LGW.

I'm pretty sure WS currently hold 4 LGW daily slots, of which 3 were leased out last summer.

The 73G is the perfectly sized aircraft for YYT-LGW. It's also shorter than YYC-YYT.

Winnipeg had weekly Saturday summer service to LGW on WestJet's ill-fated 767s in 2018/19.

Newfoundland has historically had air links with Europe; starting with Pan Am's flying boats which landed in Botwood. AC operated YQX-LHR for many years before the flight was moved to YYT in the late 1980's. For a period, the LHR flight was YHZ-YYT-LHR (AC 860) and LHR-YYT-YHZ (AC 861). There were no passengers carried only between the YHZ/YYT leg. Then, AC decided to open the YHZ/YYT leg to passengers. This resulted in YHZ originating LHR bound passengers having to deplane in YYT and for the WB flight, all passengers cleared customs in YYT. There's video of Paul McCartney schlepping through YYT in March 2006 after clearing customs when he was flying to PEI via YHZ with his ex-wife Heather Mills to protest the East Coast seal hunt.

Then, YHZ/YYT were split into two separate LHR flights with the YYT-LHR flight eventually reducing to summer seasonal operated on an A319 until it was suspended due to the pandemic. Flew YYT-LHR in July 2013 and the flight was ~ 50-60% full.

It will be interesting to see what West Jet has planned. They did make YYT a mini transatlantic hub in 2014. Round two perhaps?

thenoflyzone Nov 14, 2023 8:36 PM

I said, let me check St. John's on there, and didn't see anything. After you guys posted those routes, I realized I had selected St John's, AG (wherever that is !) and not NL. :rolleyes:

hollywoodcory Nov 14, 2023 8:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thenoflyzone (Post 10080830)
^ YYC-KEF also on there, May 15- Sept 8 2024.

NRT daily was the right move. So 4 weekly frequencies are going there. So I guess the increase on the other 3 is 1x weekly each? Is that right?

FCO gained 2x / EDI gained 1x / BCN gained 3x.

Which brings the schedule to:

LHR 1x daily
CDG 1x daily
NRT 1x daily
FCO 1x daily
BCN 6x weekly
DUB 5x weekly
EDI 4x weekly

q12 Nov 14, 2023 8:45 PM

Halifax's Transatlantic so far scheduled for peak summer 2024:

Discover Airlines YHZ-FRA 4x weekly A330
Condor Airlines YHZ-FRA 3x weekly A330
Air Canada YHZ-LHR Daily 737max8
Icelandair YHZ-KEF 3x weekly 737max8
Westjet YHZ-LGW 4x weekly 737max8
Westjet YHZ-EDI 3x weekly 737max8
Westjet YHZ-DUB 4x weekly 737max8


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